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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Diageo Plc (DEO) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 43.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $57.84B large-cap · #3 of 23 peers
Summary

Diageo Plc (DEO) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Diageo Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Diageo Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $57.84B. It ranks number 3 by market capitalization among the 23 Beverages issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DEO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DEO included.

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Price

DEO price chart and AI forecast

DEO
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DEO ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Diageo Plc (DEO) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Beverages peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in GBP and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $57.84B $253M 3/23
P/E Ratio 15.82x 18.63x 8/11
EPS $6.01 – –
Revenue/Share $186.62 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
ROIC 43.1% 9.0% 3/16
Gross Margin 71.6% 43.5% 3/22
Operating Margin 19.3% 1.6% 7/22
EBT Margin 17.0% 9.1% 9/22
Tax Rate 25.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.60x 1.02x 8/24
Quick Ratio 0.71x 0.73x 13/23
D/E Ratio 3.15x 1.25x 4/20
Financial Leverage 4.33x 1.97x 4/19
Working Capital $9.59B $1M 1/23

Cash Flow

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $16.98B $10M 2/21
OCF Growth YoY 24.1% 24.0% 5/10

Operational Efficiency

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.71x 0.60x 3/14
Receivables Turnover 19.7x 13.2x 3/14
Inventory Turnover 2.3x 3.6x 15/20
Fixed Assets Turnover 9.3x 3.3x 5/15
Days Sales Outstanding 19 days 28 days 12/14
Days Inventory 158 days 103 days 6/20
Payables Period 105 days 78 days 7/20
Cash Conversion Cycle 71 days 57 days 6/13

Income Statement

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $113.49B $3.19B 1/16
Operating Income $21.94B $230K 1/21
R&D Expense $316M – –
Cost of Goods Sold $32.21B $284M 2/21

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDEOIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 608M – –
EPS Growth -9.6% 5.4% 8/10

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from GBP)

Total Current Assets$25.46B
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.98B
Accounts Receivable$5.87B
Inventory$14.22B
Total Liabilities$49.29B
Short-term Debt$6.39B
Quarterly Financial Reports

DEO quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Beverages

Diageo Plc (DEO) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Diageo Plc (Beverages): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DEO Diageo Plc ▼ $57.84B 15.8x –
KO Coca Cola Co ▼ $403.93B 29.5x 12.0x
PEP Pepsico Inc ▼ $179.47B 16.5x 10.5x
ABEV Ambev S.A. ▼ $51.86B 4.9x –
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ▼ $47.11B 29.6x 1.9x
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. ▼ $22.43B 11.7x 2.6x
BF-B Brown Forman Corp ▼ $13.25B 18.6x 3.3x
PRMB Primo Brands Corp ▶ $7.15B 70.4x 2.4x
COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. ▶ $3.37B 36.0x 8.4x
WEST Westrock Coffee Co ▼ $824M – –
SUJA Suja Life, Inc. ▶ $274M – 2.3x
BRCC Brc Inc. ▼ $253M – –
BUDA Buda Juice, Inc. ▶ $94M – 4.4x
CWGL Crimson Wine Group, Ltd ▲ $87M 211.5x 0.5x
JSDA Jones Soda Co. ▲ $32M – 26.4x
SRXH Srx Global Inc. ▼ $23M – 0.2x
WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc ▲ $10M – 0.2x
MOJO Equator Beverage Co ▲ $8M 8.3x 4.4x
AMSS Amass Brands ▼ $4M – –
YHC Lqr House Inc. ▼ $2M – 0.1x
IPST Ip Strategy Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
EDVA Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. ▼ $940K – –
CIRX Cirtran Corp ▶ $130K – –
MALG Microalliance Group Inc. ▼ N/A – –
MDWK Mdwerks, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where DEO sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Beverages
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News

Diageo Plc (DEO) stock news

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FAQ

Diageo Plc (DEO) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Diageo Plc (DEO) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Diageo Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Diageo Plc stock predictions?

For DEO, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 43.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Diageo Plc forecasts updated?

Diageo Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Diageo Plc's industry peers?

25 issuers in our coverage, DEO included, share the SEC industry code Beverages. The largest are: Coca Cola Co (KO), Pepsico Inc (PEP), Ambev S.A. (ABEV), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), Brown Forman Corp (BF-B).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.