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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Walt Disney Co (DIS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 45.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $190.95B large-cap · #1 of 22 peers
Summary

Walt Disney Co (DIS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Walt Disney Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Walt Disney Co is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $190.95B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For DIS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, DIS included.

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Price

DIS price chart and AI forecast

DIS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How DIS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-27

Walt Disney Co (DIS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $190.95B $354M 1/22
P/E Ratio 22.85x 17.82x 4/10
P/B Ratio 1.74x 1.99x 8/12
EPS $4.84 – –
Book Value/Share $63.72 – –
Revenue/Share $57.25 – –
FCF/Share $4.80 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
ROE 7.8% -0.1% 5/10
ROA 4.2% -3.9% 4/15
ROIC 10.8% 10.3% 7/15
Operating Margin 18.4% 10.1% 6/17
Net Margin 8.7% -1.0% 4/14
EBT Margin 12.9% 4.1% 7/18
Tax Rate 27.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.71x 0.82x 14/20
Quick Ratio 0.65x 0.71x 9/12
D/E Ratio 0.80x 0.86x 8/14
Financial Leverage 1.86x 1.86x 7/13
Interest Coverage 12.0x 1.9x 4/16
Working Capital -$10.21B -$115K 20/20

Cash Flow

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $16.99B $16M 1/23
Free Cash Flow $8.29B $80M 1/13
Capital Spending -$8.70B -$4M 13/13
OCF Growth YoY -11.3% -9.3% 7/12
FCF Growth YoY -28.2% -22.4% 7/11
FCF/Sales 8.4% 8.6% 7/12
CapEx/Sales 8.8% 6.1% 4/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.48x 0.58x 9/11
Receivables Turnover 6.8x 14.6x 10/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.2x 22.6x 8/13
Days Sales Outstanding 54 days 25 days 4/13

Income Statement

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $98.86B $404M 1/15
Operating Income $18.24B $510K 1/21
Net Income $8.60B -$460K 1/17
SG&A Expense $16.61B $286M 1/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricDISIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1727M – –
Net Income Growth -25.6% 10.5% 4/6
EPS Growth -24.3% -22.0% 6/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$24.89B12.2% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$5.18B2.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$14.55B7.1% of assets
Inventory$2.08B1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$87.90B42.9% of assets
Short-term Debt$15.56B7.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

DIS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

Walt Disney Co (DIS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Walt Disney Co (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
DIS Walt Disney Co ▼ $190.95B 22.9x 1.7x
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. ▶ $9.54B 1237.8x –
DKNG Draftkings Inc. ▲ $9.31B – 16.4x
SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd ▼ $5.61B – –
MTN Vail Resorts Inc ▶ $5.38B 36.7x 12.7x
RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. ▲ $4.29B 63.9x 23.2x
STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.24B – 1.4x
BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc ▶ $1.78B 8.3x 2.0x
GENI Genius Sports Ltd ▲ $1.70B – 2.4x
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. ▲ $1.47B 11.0x –
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. ▶ $403M – –
BUKS Butler National Corp ▲ $305M 13.3x 3.5x
SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. ▶ $290M – 0.7x
XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. ▲ $228M – –
ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. ▼ $154M – –
GRSD Grandstand Ltd ▶ $47M – –
SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. ▲ $34M – –
PRKA Parks America, Inc ▼ $31M 22.4x 2.0x
TBTC Table Trac Inc ▼ $23M 9.4x 1.6x
EVTK Eventiko Inc. ▶ $10M – –
BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. ▶ $2M – –
VIVC Vivic Corp. ▼ $300K 1.1x 0.2x
GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where DIS sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
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News

Walt Disney Co (DIS) stock news

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FAQ

Walt Disney Co (DIS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Walt Disney Co (DIS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Walt Disney Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Walt Disney Co stock predictions?

For DIS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 45.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Walt Disney Co forecasts updated?

Walt Disney Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Walt Disney Co's industry peers?

24 issuers in our coverage, DIS included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Vail Resorts Inc (MTN), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI), Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.