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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 30.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $218M small-cap · #15 of 21 peers
Summary

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Xponential Fitness, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Xponential Fitness, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $218M. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 21 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For XPOF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 34.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, XPOF included.

Price

XPOF price chart and AI forecast

XPOF
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How XPOF ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $218M $1.60B 15/21
EPS $-1.56 – –
Revenue/Share $0.22 – –
FCF/Share $-0.16 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
ROA -13.8% -11.8% 8/13
ROIC 8.2% 10.8% 8/13
Operating Margin 168.8% 10.9% 1/15
Net Margin -401.5% -12.3% 10/12
EBT Margin -541.2% 3.3% 15/16
Tax Rate -1.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.75x 0.76x 10/18
Quick Ratio 0.71x 0.71x 6/11
Interest Coverage 0.6x 1.9x 9/14
Working Capital -$24M -$7M 11/18

Cash Flow

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$6M $16M 18/21
Free Cash Flow -$8M $115M 11/12
Capital Spending -$2M -$5M 5/12
OCF Growth YoY -140.2% -13.6% 11/11
FCF Growth YoY -176.2% -30.8% 10/10
FCF/Sales -76.1% 7.8% 10/11
CapEx/Sales 21.9% 6.4% 2/11

Operational Efficiency

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.03x 0.67x 10/10
Receivables Turnover 0.6x 15.7x 11/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.1x 24.4x 10/11
Days Sales Outstanding 600 days 23 days 1/11

Income Statement

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $11M $782M 13/14
Operating Income $18M $510K 8/19
Net Income -$43M -$1M 12/15
SG&A Expense $144M $341M 8/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricXPOFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 49M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$69M22.4% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$25M8.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$17M5.6% of assets
Inventory$3M1.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$686M
Short-term Debt$77M24.8% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

XPOF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Xponential Fitness, Inc. (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. $218M – –
DIS Walt Disney Co $201.59B 24.1x 1.8x
DKNG Draftkings Inc. $9.12B – 50.8x
MSGK Msg Knickerbockers Corp. $7.52B – –
SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd $5.85B – –
MTN Vail Resorts Inc $5.65B 38.5x 13.3x
MSGR Msg Rangers Corp. $2.90B – 126.5x
RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. $2.83B 35.1x 14.5x
STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. $2.35B – 1.5x
BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc $1.85B 8.7x 2.1x
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. $1.81B 23.0x –
GENI Genius Sports Ltd $1.60B – 2.2x
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. $332M – –
BUKS Butler National Corp $322M 14.0x 3.7x
SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. $275M – 0.7x
ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. $105M – –
SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. $31M – –
GRSD Grandstand Ltd $30M – –
TBTC Table Trac Inc $27M 10.9x 1.9x
EVTK Eventiko Inc. $8M – –
BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. $1M – –
GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. N/A – –
LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. N/A – –

Where XPOF sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
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News

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock news

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FAQ

Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Xponential Fitness, Inc. every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Xponential Fitness, Inc. stock predictions?

For XPOF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 34.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Xponential Fitness, Inc. forecasts updated?

Xponential Fitness, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, XPOF included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Msg Knickerbockers Corp. (MSGK), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Vail Resorts Inc (MTN), Msg Rangers Corp. (MSGR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.