Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast summary
Our AI scores Vail Resorts Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Vail Resorts Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.65B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 21 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MTN included.
MTN price chart and AI forecast
How MTN ranks among 5150 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.65B | 5/21 |
| P/E Ratio | 38.48x | 1/7 |
| P/B Ratio | 13.31x | 4/11 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.61% | – |
| EPS | $4.12 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.91 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $79.65 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.96 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 38.8% | 2/15 |
| EBT Margin | 20.9% | 3/16 |
| Tax Rate | 24.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 11.84x | 3/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $480M | 4/21 |
| Free Cash Flow | $248M | 4/12 |
| Capital Spending | -$232M | 10/12 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -13.6% | 6/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -29.6% | 5/10 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.7% | 3/11 |
| CapEx/Sales | 8.2% | 5/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.84B | 3/14 |
| Operating Income | $421M | 3/19 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $8.90 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 216.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
| EPS Growth | -45.3% | 5/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Liabilities | $5.02B | 92.2% of assets |
MTN quarterly financials and insider trading
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vail Resorts Inc (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc | $5.65B | |
| DIS Walt Disney Co | $201.59B | |
| DKNG Draftkings Inc. | $9.12B | |
| MSGK Msg Knickerbockers Corp. | $7.52B | |
| SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd | $5.85B | |
| MSGR Msg Rangers Corp. | $2.90B | |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | $2.83B | |
| STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. | $2.35B | |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc | $1.85B | |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | $1.81B | |
| GENI Genius Sports Ltd | $1.60B | |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | $332M | |
| BUKS Butler National Corp | $322M | |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | $275M | |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | $218M | |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. | $105M | |
| SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. | $31M | |
| GRSD Grandstand Ltd | $30M | |
| TBTC Table Trac Inc | $27M | |
| EVTK Eventiko Inc. | $8M | |
| BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. | $1M | |
| GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. | N/A | |
| LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. | N/A |
Where MTN sits on the market map
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock news
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Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast?
Our AI scores Vail Resorts Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
How accurate are Vail Resorts Inc stock predictions?
For MTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 50.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vail Resorts Inc forecasts updated?
Vail Resorts Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
Which companies are Vail Resorts Inc's industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, MTN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Msg Knickerbockers Corp. (MSGK), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Msg Rangers Corp. (MSGR), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.