Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Vail Resorts Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Vail Resorts Inc is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $5.38B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 11.84x is the highest of the 14 peers that report one.
For MTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MTN ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $5.38B | 5/22 |
| P/E Ratio | 36.65x | 3/10 |
| P/B Ratio | 12.68x | 3/12 |
| Dividend Yield | 5.89% | – |
| EPS | $4.12 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $11.91 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $79.65 | – |
| FCF/Share | $6.96 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Margin | 38.8% | 2/17 |
| EBT Margin | 20.9% | 3/18 |
| Tax Rate | 24.8% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.80x | 11/20 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.68x | 8/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 11.84x | 1/14 |
| Working Capital | -$221M | 16/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $480M | 5/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $248M | 4/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$232M | 11/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -13.6% | 8/12 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -22.4% | 6/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 8.7% | 6/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 8.2% | 5/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 8.0x | 8/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.2x | 10/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 46 days | 6/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.84B | 3/15 |
| Operating Income | $421M | 3/21 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MTN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $8.90 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 216.0% | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
| EPS Growth | -45.3% | 7/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $876M | 15.2% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $231M | 4.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $355M | 6.1% of assets |
| Inventory | $135M | 2.3% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $5.02B | 87.0% of assets |
MTN quarterly financials and insider trading
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Vail Resorts Inc (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc | ▼ | $5.38B |
| DIS Walt Disney Co | ▼ | $190.95B |
| MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | ▼ | $9.54B |
| DKNG Draftkings Inc. | ▲ | $9.31B |
| SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd | ▼ | $5.61B |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | ▲ | $4.29B |
| STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.24B |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc | ▶ | $1.78B |
| GENI Genius Sports Ltd | ▲ | $1.70B |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $1.47B |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | ▼ | $403M |
| BUKS Butler National Corp | ▶ | $312M |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | ▶ | $290M |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | ▲ | $220M |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. | ▼ | $149M |
| GRSD Grandstand Ltd | ▶ | $47M |
| SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| PRKA Parks America, Inc | ▼ | $31M |
| TBTC Table Trac Inc | ▼ | $23M |
| EVTK Eventiko Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. | ▶ | $980K |
| VIVC Vivic Corp. | ▼ | $300K |
| GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where MTN sits on the market map
Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock news
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Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Vail Resorts Inc (MTN) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Vail Resorts Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Vail Resorts Inc stock predictions?
For MTN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 48.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 17.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Vail Resorts Inc forecasts updated?
Vail Resorts Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Vail Resorts Inc's industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, MTN included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI), Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.