Embraer announces deal to acquire 51% stake in Mahindra Group's Novavayu Aerospace: All you need to know
Embraer has agreed to acquire a 51% stake in Mahindra Group-owned Novavayu Aerospace Limited, with the deal expected to close ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
6.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$13.08B
large-cap · #2 of 17 peers
Summary
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, EMBJ is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
Embraer S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.08B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 17 Aircraft issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For EMBJ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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EMBJ price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How EMBJ ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2025-12-31
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Aircraft peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $13.08B | 2/17 |
| P/E Ratio | 141.84x | – |
| EPS | $0.51 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $122.55 | – |
| FCF/Share | $12.34 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 12.6% | 3/14 |
| Gross Margin | 17.9% | 6/7 |
| Operating Margin | 4.6% | 2/8 |
| EBT Margin | 1.7% | 2/9 |
| Tax Rate | 0.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.50x | 14/18 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.82x | 7/7 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.64x | 3/15 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.75x | 3/14 |
| Working Capital | $2.39B | 2/18 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $2.89B | 2/17 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2.23B | 1/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$663M | 12/13 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.1% | 1/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.0% | 8/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.71x | 1/9 |
| Inventory Turnover | 5.6x | 2/6 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 10.4x | 3/10 |
| Days Inventory | 66 days | 5/6 |
| Payables Period | 22 days | 8/9 |
Income Statement
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $22.15B | 2/10 |
| Operating Income | $1.03B | 2/15 |
| R&D Expense | $277M | 5/15 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $18.19B | 2/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | EMBJ | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 181M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $7.15B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.95B | |
| Inventory | $3.27B | |
| Total Liabilities | $9.11B | |
| Short-term Debt | $3.64B |
Quarterly Financial Reports
EMBJ quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Aircraft
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Embraer S.A. (Aircraft): 18 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| EMBJ Embraer S.A. | ▶ | $13.08B |
| BA Boeing Co | ▶ | $150.34B |
| AVAV Aerovironment Inc | ▼ | $6.19B |
| JOBY Joby Aviation, Inc. | ▶ | $4.61B |
| BETA Beta Technologies, Inc. | ▲ | $4.22B |
| ACHR Archer Aviation Inc. | ▼ | $3.13B |
| AVEX Aevex Corp. | ▼ | $1.75B |
| EVEX Eve Holding, Inc. | ▲ | $565M |
| AIRO Airo Group Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $167M |
| DPRO Draganfly Inc. | ▶ | $145M |
| HOVR New Horizon Aircraft Ltd. | ▼ | $92M |
| EVTL Vertical Aerospace Ltd. | ▶ | $69M |
| UAVS Ageagle Aerial Systems Inc. | ▼ | $44M |
| MOB Mobilicom Ltd | ▲ | $37M |
| DUKR Duke Robotics Corp. | ▼ | $15M |
| XERI Xeriant, Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| BRQL Dynamic Aerospace Systems Corp | ▶ | $6M |
| MTTN Matternet, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where EMBJ sits on the market map
Manufacturing · Aircraft
News
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) stock news
Embraer S A : and Portugália Airlines Sign Component Pool Program Agreement for E-Jets Fleet
Lisboa, October 15, 2026 - Embraer (NYSE: EMBJ / B3: EMBJ3) and Portugália Airlines, a TAP Group company, operating under the TAP Express brand have signed a Component Pool Program agreement to ...
Embraer's 2026 Outlook: Record $34.5 billion Backlog Drives Future Production Growth
This under-the-radar industrial technology stock boasts a Superscore of 80 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.
FAQ
Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Embraer S.A. (EMBJ) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, EMBJ is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Embraer S.A. stock predictions?
For EMBJ, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Embraer S.A. forecasts updated?
Embraer S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Embraer S.A.'s industry peers?
18 issuers in our coverage, EMBJ included, share the SEC industry code Aircraft. The largest are: Boeing Co (BA), Aerovironment Inc (AVAV), Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY), Beta Technologies, Inc. (BETA), Archer Aviation Inc. (ACHR), Aevex Corp. (AVEX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.