Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Erie Indemnity Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Erie Indemnity Co is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $11.26B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 23 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For ERIE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How ERIE ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $11.26B | 6/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 19.51x | 10/12 |
| P/B Ratio | 9.04x | 7/18 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.34% | 3/9 |
| Book Value/Share | $26.96 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $89.18 | – |
| FCF/Share | $11.97 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 25.4% | 6/12 |
| Operating Margin | 27.1% | 5/14 |
| Net Margin | 11.6% | 7/15 |
| EBT Margin | 27.0% | 4/22 |
| Tax Rate | 21.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.25x | 9/20 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.74x | 15/20 |
| Interest Coverage | 925.8x | 1/19 |
| Working Capital | $238M | 7/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $698M | 7/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $553M | 5/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$145M | 11/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 1.4% | 9/14 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -1.9% | 7/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 13.4% | 8/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.5% | 3/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Receivables Turnover | 5.5x | 8/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 67 days | 6/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.12B | 6/22 |
| Operating Income | $738M | 3/16 |
| Net Income | $316M | 6/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | ERIE | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $5.70 | – |
| Shares Outstanding | 46M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 0.0% | 8/13 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.21B | 55.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $283M | 13.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $753M | 34.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $919M | 42.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $763M | 35.2% of assets |
ERIE quarterly financials and insider trading
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Erie Indemnity Co (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | ▼ | $11.26B |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $89.88B |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | ▼ | $65.33B |
| AON Aon Plc | ▼ | $62.06B |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | ▼ | $23.22B |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $14.53B |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $10.42B |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $6.36B |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | ▼ | $5.26B |
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.45B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | ▼ | $4.29B |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $4.03B |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | ▼ | $4.03B |
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | ▼ | $1.37B |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | ▶ | $609M |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | ▲ | $88M |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | ▲ | $57M |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | ▲ | $19M |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | ▶ | $17M |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | ▶ | $11M |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | ▶ | $2M |
| AAPI Apple Isports Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where ERIE sits on the market map
Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) stock news
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Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Erie Indemnity Co outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Erie Indemnity Co stock predictions?
For ERIE, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 10.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Erie Indemnity Co forecasts updated?
Erie Indemnity Co forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Erie Indemnity Co's industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, ERIE included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), Aon Plc (AON), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. (RYAN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.