Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) Stock Forecast Oct. 21, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 21, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 21, 2026, FRST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4683 stocks scored that day.
Primis Financial Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $386M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 5.62x is the lowest of the 59 peers that report one.
For FRST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-07-23 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-09-21. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-21 signals)
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How FRST ranks among 4683 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $386M | 60/60 |
| P/E Ratio | 5.62x | 59/59 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.89x | 56/57 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.58% | 27/51 |
| EPS | $2.77 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $17.49 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $10.93 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 17.5% | 3/52 |
| ROA | 1.7% | 7/50 |
| Net Margin | 27.9% | 41/53 |
| EBT Margin | 34.0% | 46/58 |
| Tax Rate | 21.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 9.04x | 14/59 |
| Financial Leverage | 10.04x | 12/55 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$43M | 55/59 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.06x | 3/53 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 45.5x | 2/55 |
Income Statement
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $271M | 56/57 |
| Net Income | $76M | 53/53 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | FRST | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $0.40 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 14.4% | 48/51 |
| Shares Outstanding | 25M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 322.2% | 2/52 |
| EPS Growth | 326.1% | 2/57 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $177M | 4.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.92B | 90.0% of assets |
FRST quarterly financials and insider trading
Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Primis Financial Corp. (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| FRST Primis Financial Corp. | ▶ | $386M |
| BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia | ▼ | $116.21B |
| DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft | ▼ | $61.37B |
| FITB Fifth Third Bancorp | ▶ | $47.89B |
| STT State Street Corp | ▶ | $46.41B |
| BBD Bank Bradesco | ▲ | $42.92B |
| MTB M&T Bank Corp | ▶ | $31.70B |
| NTRS Northern Trust Corp | ▲ | $30.54B |
| CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri | ▶ | $27.33B |
| FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ | ▶ | $24.21B |
| EWBC East West Bancorp Inc | ▼ | $18.00B |
| ALLY Ally Financial Inc. | ▶ | $11.77B |
| BPOP Popular, Inc. | ▼ | $10.35B |
| SSB Southstate Bank Corp | ▼ | $9.97B |
| WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp | ▶ | $9.94B |
| COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. | ▶ | $8.26B |
| WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation | ▼ | $8.24B |
| PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc | ▼ | $8.19B |
| CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ | ▼ | $7.91B |
| UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv | ▼ | $6.43B |
| HOMB Home Bancshares Inc | ▶ | $5.88B |
| GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $5.82B |
| HWC Hancock Whitney Corp | ▶ | $5.80B |
| AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp | ▼ | $5.52B |
| ASB Associated Banc-Corp | ▶ | $5.51B |
| ABCB Ameris Bancorp | ▶ | $5.41B |
| SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. | ▶ | $4.35B |
| UCB United Community Banks Inc | ▼ | $4.32B |
| FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc | ▲ | $4.27B |
| FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ | ▶ | $4.17B |
| IBOC International Bancshares Corp | ▶ | $4.11B |
| TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx | ▶ | $4.06B |
| CATY Cathay General Bancorp | ▶ | $4.04B |
| CVBF Cvb Financial Corp | ▶ | $3.91B |
| INDB Independent Bank Corp | ▶ | $3.85B |
| RNST Renasant Corp | ▼ | $3.68B |
| FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc | ▶ | $3.40B |
| MCHB Mechanics Bancorp | ▶ | $3.24B |
| SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida | ▶ | $3.17B |
| FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. | ▶ | $3.08B |
| BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp | ▼ | $2.72B |
| FBK Fb Financial Corp | ▶ | $2.60B |
| CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. | ▼ | $2.58B |
| FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ | ▶ | $2.53B |
| BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ | ▶ | $2.46B |
| SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $2.38B |
| BANR Banner Corp | ▶ | $2.31B |
| MBIN Merchants Bancorp | ▲ | $2.19B |
| EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp | ▶ | $2.18B |
| OFG Ofg Bancorp | ▶ | $2.13B |
| HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $2.09B |
| SRCE 1st Source Corp | ▼ | $2.07B |
| GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.88B |
| RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ | ▲ | $1.80B |
| STBA S&T Bancorp Inc | ▶ | $1.72B |
| BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.69B |
| TCBK Trico Bancshares / | ▶ | $1.69B |
| CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. | ▶ | $1.68B |
| LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | ▲ | $1.64B |
| QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc | ▼ | $1.63B |
Where FRST sits on the market map
Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock news
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Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast?
On Oct. 21, 2026, FRST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4683 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Primis Financial Corp. stock predictions?
For FRST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-07-23 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-09-21. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Primis Financial Corp. forecasts updated?
Primis Financial Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 21, 2026.
Which companies are Primis Financial Corp.'s industry peers?
60 issuers in our coverage, FRST included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.