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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-21

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) Stock Forecast Oct. 21, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 21, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 4683 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 0.0% Spearman, 358 dates
Market Cap $386M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 21, 2026, FRST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4683 stocks scored that day.

Primis Financial Corp. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $386M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 5.62x is the lowest of the 59 peers that report one.

For FRST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-07-23 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-09-21. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.3%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.9% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-21 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, FRST included.

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Price

FRST price chart and AI forecast

FRST
Cross-section · 2026-10-21

How FRST ranks among 4683 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $386M $4.09B 60/60
P/E Ratio 5.62x 12.08x 59/59
P/B Ratio 0.89x 1.25x 56/57
Dividend Yield 2.58% 2.70% 27/51
EPS $2.77 – –
Book Value/Share $17.49 – –
Revenue/Share $10.93 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
ROE 17.5% 10.5% 3/52
ROA 1.7% 1.2% 7/50
Net Margin 27.9% 31.4% 41/53
EBT Margin 34.0% 40.0% 46/58
Tax Rate 21.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 9.04x 7.32x 14/59
Financial Leverage 10.04x 8.32x 12/55

Cash Flow

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$43M $432M 55/59

Operational Efficiency

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.06x 0.04x 3/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 45.5x 5.6x 2/55

Income Statement

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $271M $1.10B 56/57
Net Income $76M $347M 53/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricFRSTIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.40 – –
Payout Ratio 14.4% 33.5% 48/51
Shares Outstanding 25M – –
Net Income Growth 322.2% 21.4% 2/52
EPS Growth 326.1% 17.8% 2/57

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$177M4.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$3.92B90.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

FRST quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Primis Financial Corp. (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
FRST Primis Financial Corp. ▶ $386M 5.6x 0.9x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia ▼ $116.21B 12.2x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft ▼ $61.37B 9.1x –
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp ▶ $47.89B 15.2x 1.4x
STT State Street Corp ▶ $46.41B 14.9x 1.6x
BBD Bank Bradesco ▲ $42.92B – –
MTB M&T Bank Corp ▶ $31.70B 11.6x 1.1x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp ▲ $30.54B 18.7x 2.3x
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri ▶ $27.33B 12.1x 1.0x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ ▶ $24.21B 11.5x 1.1x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc ▼ $18.00B 12.6x 2.0x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. ▶ $11.77B 15.4x 0.8x
BPOP Popular, Inc. ▼ $10.35B 11.0x 1.6x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp ▼ $9.97B 9.9x 1.1x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp ▶ $9.94B 11.8x 1.3x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. ▶ $8.26B 12.7x 1.1x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc ▼ $8.19B 11.8x 1.0x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation ▶ $8.03B 8.3x 1.0x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ $7.91B 13.8x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv ▼ $6.43B 14.0x 1.2x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc ▼ $5.88B 12.2x 1.3x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $5.82B 19.5x 1.4x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp ▶ $5.80B 16.0x 1.3x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp ▼ $5.52B 12.8x 1.1x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp ▼ $5.51B 10.6x 1.0x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp ▼ $5.41B 14.6x 1.3x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. ▶ $4.35B 6.8x 2.2x
UCB United Community Banks Inc ▼ $4.32B 12.2x 1.2x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc ▶ $4.27B 16.5x 4.1x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ ▼ $4.17B 12.0x 2.1x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp ▼ $4.11B 10.0x 1.2x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx ▼ $4.06B 10.9x 1.1x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp ▼ $4.04B 9.9x 1.3x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp ▼ $3.91B 15.4x 1.2x
INDB Independent Bank Corp ▼ $3.85B 14.7x 1.1x
RNST Renasant Corp ▼ $3.68B 13.4x 1.0x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc ▶ $3.40B 11.4x 1.0x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp ▶ $3.24B 8.3x 8.0x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida ▶ $3.17B 20.2x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. ▼ $3.08B 11.4x 1.1x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp ▼ $2.72B 10.9x 1.5x
FBK Fb Financial Corp ▶ $2.60B 11.3x 1.3x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $2.58B 8.9x 1.2x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ ▶ $2.53B 14.9x 1.5x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ ▶ $2.46B 18.2x 1.0x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $2.38B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp ▼ $2.31B 11.2x 3.5x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp ▶ $2.19B 8.1x 0.9x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp ▼ $2.18B 12.0x 1.1x
OFG Ofg Bancorp ▶ $2.13B 9.9x 1.5x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. ▶ $2.09B 13.5x 1.0x
SRCE 1st Source Corp ▼ $2.07B 12.3x 1.6x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $1.88B 15.4x 1.6x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ ▶ $1.80B 14.1x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc ▼ $1.72B 13.3x 1.2x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. ▼ $1.69B 11.9x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / ▼ $1.69B 10.6x 1.3x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.68B 10.5x 1.0x
LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $1.64B 28.3x 1.3x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc ▼ $1.63B 11.8x 1.4x

Where FRST sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock news

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FAQ

Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Primis Financial Corp. (FRST) stock forecast?

On Oct. 21, 2026, FRST is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 4683 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Primis Financial Corp. stock predictions?

For FRST, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 358 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-07-23 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-03 and 2026-09-21. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Primis Financial Corp. forecasts updated?

Primis Financial Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 21, 2026.

Which companies are Primis Financial Corp.'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, FRST included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), State Street Corp (STT), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.