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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 62.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $54.78B large-cap · #2 of 10 peers
Summary

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Garmin Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Garmin Ltd is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $54.78B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 23.3% is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For GRMN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 62.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GRMN included.

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Price

GRMN price chart and AI forecast

GRMN
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GRMN ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-28

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $54.78B $5.66B 2/10
P/E Ratio 31.78x 27.51x 1/6
P/B Ratio 5.91x 3.37x 2/9
Dividend Yield 1.26% – –
EPS $8.96 – –
Book Value/Share $48.20 – –
Revenue/Share $38.80 – –
FCF/Share $7.55 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
ROE 18.7% 8.9% 2/9
ROA 15.8% 5.4% 1/10
ROIC 20.6% 9.0% 1/9
Gross Margin 59.1% 38.9% 2/8
Operating Margin 26.5% 10.3% 1/10
Net Margin 23.3% 8.3% 1/10
EBT Margin 28.1% 10.0% 1/10
Tax Rate 17.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 4.36x 2.05x 4/10
Quick Ratio 3.02x 1.54x 3/8
D/E Ratio 0.18x 0.40x 6/9
Financial Leverage 1.18x 1.40x 6/9
Interest Coverage 148.2x 2.3x 1/8
Working Capital $4.62B $633M 1/10

Cash Flow

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.75B $254M 3/10
Free Cash Flow $1.45B $185M 3/10
Capital Spending -$297M -$95M 8/10
OCF Growth YoY 23.3% 23.9% 5/7
FCF Growth YoY 19.2% 19.8% 5/7
FCF/Sales 19.4% 9.6% 2/9
CapEx/Sales 4.0% 2.3% 2/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.68x 0.53x 4/9
Receivables Turnover 7.9x 6.8x 4/9
Inventory Turnover 1.6x 2.5x 5/6
Fixed Assets Turnover 5.4x 6.3x 5/8
Days Sales Outstanding 46 days 54 days 6/9
Days Inventory 221 days 155 days 2/6
Payables Period 41 days 42 days 5/8
Cash Conversion Cycle 226 days 174 days 3/6

Income Statement

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $7.46B $3.78B 3/9
Operating Income $1.97B $202M 3/10
Net Income $1.74B $164M 3/10
R&D Expense $1.15B $21M 1/7
SG&A Expense $1.29B $42M 2/7
Cost of Goods Sold $3.05B $1.43B 3/8

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGRMNIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $3.60 – –
Payout Ratio 40.2% – –
Shares Outstanding 192M – –
Net Income Growth 18.2% 14.0% 3/7
EPS Growth 18.1% 16.9% 3/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$6.00B54.8% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$2.29B20.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$941M8.6% of assets
Inventory$1.85B16.9% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.68B15.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$1.03B9.4% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

GRMN quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Garmin Ltd (Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GRMN Garmin Ltd ▼ $54.78B 31.8x 5.9x
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ ▶ $73.85B 16.5x 4.1x
LHX L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ ▼ $46.28B 25.1x 2.3x
TDY Teledyne Technologies Inc ▼ $28.68B 29.9x 2.6x
DRS Leonardo Drs, Inc. ▶ $9.45B 30.8x 3.4x
LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. ▶ $1.86B – –
NN Nextnav Inc. ▲ $1.62B – 4.8x
AERG Applied Energetics, Inc. ▶ $179M – 82.1x
CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. ▲ $112M 21.6x 1.8x
MIND Mind Technology, Inc ▲ $39M – 1.0x

Where GRMN sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
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News

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) stock news

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FAQ

Garmin Ltd (GRMN) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Garmin Ltd (GRMN) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Garmin Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Garmin Ltd stock predictions?

For GRMN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 62.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Garmin Ltd forecasts updated?

Garmin Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Garmin Ltd's industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, GRMN included, share the SEC industry code Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys. The largest are: Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC), L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ (LHX), Teledyne Technologies Inc (TDY), Leonardo Drs, Inc. (DRS), Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR), Nextnav Inc. (NN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.