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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 40.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1.86B small-cap · #6 of 10 peers
Summary

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, LUNR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Intuitive Machines, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.86B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 10 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LUNR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 34.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

LUNR price chart and AI forecast

LUNR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LUNR ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1.86B $5.66B 6/10
EPS $-0.80 – –
Revenue/Share $2.84 – –
FCF/Share $-1.09 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
ROA -6.9% 5.4% 8/10
ROIC -9.1% 9.0% 8/9
Operating Margin -27.5% 10.3% 8/10
Net Margin -26.6% 8.3% 8/10
EBT Margin -36.9% 10.0% 8/10
Tax Rate -2.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.66x 2.05x 7/10
Quick Ratio 1.51x 1.54x 5/8
Interest Coverage -1571.2x 2.3x 7/8
Working Capital $263M $633M 7/10

Cash Flow

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$126M $254M 10/10
Free Cash Flow -$188M $185M 10/10
Capital Spending -$61M -$95M 5/10
FCF/Sales -38.3% 9.6% 8/9
CapEx/Sales 12.5% 2.3% 1/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.26x 0.53x 8/9
Receivables Turnover 6.5x 6.8x 6/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 1.9x 6.3x 8/8
Days Sales Outstanding 57 days 54 days 4/9

Income Statement

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $490M $3.78B 6/9
Operating Income -$135M $202M 10/10
Net Income -$131M $164M 10/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLUNRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 173M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$663M35.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$367M19.5% of assets
Accounts Receivable$76M4.0% of assets
Inventory$60M3.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$976M51.7% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LUNR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Intuitive Machines, Inc. (Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys): 10 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. ▶ $1.86B – –
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ ▶ $73.85B 16.5x 4.1x
GRMN Garmin Ltd ▼ $54.78B 31.8x 5.9x
LHX L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ ▼ $46.28B 25.1x 2.3x
TDY Teledyne Technologies Inc ▼ $28.68B 29.9x 2.6x
DRS Leonardo Drs, Inc. ▶ $9.45B 30.8x 3.4x
NN Nextnav Inc. ▲ $1.62B – 4.8x
AERG Applied Energetics, Inc. ▶ $196M – 89.5x
CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. ▲ $112M 21.6x 1.8x
MIND Mind Technology, Inc ▲ $39M – 1.0x

Where LUNR sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
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News

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FAQ

Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, LUNR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Intuitive Machines, Inc. stock predictions?

For LUNR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 34.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Intuitive Machines, Inc. forecasts updated?

Intuitive Machines, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Intuitive Machines, Inc.'s industry peers?

10 issuers in our coverage, LUNR included, share the SEC industry code Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys. The largest are: Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC), Garmin Ltd (GRMN), L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ (LHX), Teledyne Technologies Inc (TDY), Leonardo Drs, Inc. (DRS), Nextnav Inc. (NN).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.