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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 53.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $74.59B large-cap · #1 of 11 peers
Summary

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $74.59B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 11 Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 24.2% is the highest of the 9 peers that report one.

For NOC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NOC included.

Price

NOC price chart and AI forecast

NOC
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How NOC ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-30

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $74.59B $1.81B 1/11
P/E Ratio 16.59x 25.84x 6/6
P/B Ratio 3.99x 3.57x 5/10
Dividend Yield 1.83% – –
EPS $31.65 – –
Book Value/Share $131.51 – –
Revenue/Share $306.84 – –
FCF/Share $26.95 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
ROE 24.2% 9.2% 1/9
ROA 8.6% 5.6% 2/10
ROIC 11.9% 9.3% 3/9
Operating Margin 10.6% 10.6% 6/10
Net Margin 10.4% 9.1% 4/10
EBT Margin 12.0% 10.6% 4/10
Tax Rate 13.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.23x 1.88x 9/11
Quick Ratio 1.14x 1.51x 7/9
D/E Ratio 1.81x 0.46x 2/10
Financial Leverage 2.81x 1.46x 2/10
Working Capital $3.22B $292M 2/11

Cash Flow

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $5.27B $249M 1/10
Free Cash Flow $3.83B $176M 1/10
Capital Spending -$1.44B -$97M 10/10
OCF Growth YoY 53.2% 23.9% 2/7
FCF Growth YoY 108.8% 15.8% 1/7
FCF/Sales 8.8% 8.8% 6/9
CapEx/Sales 3.3% 2.6% 4/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.83x 0.53x 3/9
Receivables Turnover 21.0x 6.9x 1/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.2x 6.0x 7/8
Days Sales Outstanding 17 days 53 days 9/9

Income Statement

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $43.59B $3.88B 1/9
Operating Income $4.62B $214M 1/10
Net Income $4.52B $185M 1/10

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNOCIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $9.60 – –
Payout Ratio 30.3% – –
Shares Outstanding 142M – –
Net Income Growth 12.5% 22.1% 6/7
EPS Growth 13.8% 27.5% 6/6

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$16.98B32.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$3.74B7.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$2.08B4.0% of assets
Inventory$1.36B2.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$33.81B64.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$10.47B19.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NOC quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys): 11 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NOC Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ $74.59B 16.6x 4.0x
GRMN Garmin Ltd $55.03B 27.4x 5.8x
LHX L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ $48.39B 24.2x 2.4x
TDY Teledyne Technologies Inc $28.48B 28.3x 2.6x
DRS Leonardo Drs, Inc. $9.08B 28.4x 3.1x
LUNR Intuitive Machines, Inc. $1.81B – –
LYNX Lyntris Inc. $1.69B – 14.2x
NN Nextnav Inc. $1.45B – 4.4x
AERG Applied Energetics, Inc. $196M – 89.5x
CODA Coda Octopus Group, Inc. $94M 18.1x 1.5x
MIND Mind Technology, Inc $30M – 0.7x

Where NOC sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys
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News

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock news

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FAQ

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ (NOC) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ stock predictions?

For NOC, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 53.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 24.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ forecasts updated?

Northrop Grumman Corp /De/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Northrop Grumman Corp /De/'s industry peers?

11 issuers in our coverage, NOC included, share the SEC industry code Search, Detection, Navigation, Guidance, Aeronautical Sys. The largest are: Garmin Ltd (GRMN), L3harris Technologies, Inc. /De/ (LHX), Teledyne Technologies Inc (TDY), Leonardo Drs, Inc. (DRS), Intuitive Machines, Inc. (LUNR), Lyntris Inc. (LYNX).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.