Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Goosehead Insurance, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1.66B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 23 Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For GSHD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, GSHD included.
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How GSHD ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $1.66B | 14/23 |
| P/E Ratio | 36.53x | 5/12 |
| EPS | $1.27 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $11.23 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.22 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 8.7% | 4/14 |
| ROIC | 26.7% | 4/11 |
| Operating Margin | 23.3% | 6/14 |
| Net Margin | 8.8% | 9/15 |
| EBT Margin | 17.6% | 10/22 |
| Tax Rate | 17.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.54x | 7/20 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.8x | 8/19 |
| Working Capital | $30M | 12/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $86M | 14/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $80M | 9/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$6M | 5/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 1.4% | 10/14 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -3.0% | 8/9 |
| FCF/Sales | 19.8% | 3/13 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.6% | 5/13 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.99x | 6/17 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 18.5x | 12/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $402M | 15/22 |
| Operating Income | $94M | 7/16 |
| Net Income | $35M | 11/17 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | GSHD | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 36M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 18.0% | 5/13 |
| EPS Growth | 15.4% | 4/10 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $85M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $24M | |
| Total Liabilities | $595M |
GSHD quarterly financials and insider trading
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| GSHD Goosehead Insurance, Inc. | ▲ | $1.66B |
| MRSH Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. | ▼ | $89.88B |
| AJG Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. | ▼ | $65.33B |
| AON Aon Plc | ▼ | $62.06B |
| BRO Brown & Brown, Inc. | ▼ | $23.22B |
| EQH Equitable Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $14.53B |
| ERIE Erie Indemnity Co | ▶ | $11.26B |
| RYAN Ryan Specialty Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $10.42B |
| ACT Enact Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $6.36B |
| HGTY Hagerty, Inc. | ▶ | $5.26B |
| BWIN Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. | ▼ | $4.45B |
| ARX Accelerant Holdings | ▼ | $4.29B |
| NP Neptune Insurance Holdings Inc. | ▶ | $4.03B |
| CRVL Corvel Corp | ▶ | $4.03B |
| TWFG Twfg, Inc. | ▲ | $1.37B |
| CRD-A Crawford & Co | ▶ | $609M |
| RDZN Roadzen Inc. | ▲ | $88M |
| SLQT Selectquote, Inc. | ▲ | $57M |
| HIT Health In Tech, Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| EHTH Ehealth, Inc. | ▲ | $19M |
| HUIZ Huize Holding Ltd | ▲ | $17M |
| CCG Cheche Group Inc. | ▲ | $11M |
| EZRA Reliance Global Group, Inc. | ▶ | $2M |
| AAPI Apple Isports Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| QDMI Qdm International Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| SUND Sundance Strategies, Inc. | ▶ | N/A |
Where GSHD sits on the market map
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) stock news
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Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Goosehead Insurance, Inc. (GSHD) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Goosehead Insurance, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Goosehead Insurance, Inc. stock predictions?
For GSHD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 40.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 4.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Goosehead Insurance, Inc. forecasts updated?
Goosehead Insurance, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Goosehead Insurance, Inc.'s industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, GSHD included, share the SEC industry code Insurance Agents, Brokers & Service. The largest are: Marsh & Mclennan Companies, Inc. (MRSH), Arthur J. Gallagher & Co. (AJG), Aon Plc (AON), Brown & Brown, Inc. (BRO), Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH), Erie Indemnity Co (ERIE).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.