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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -17.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $9.05B mid-cap · #14 of 44 peers
Summary

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Houlihan Lokey, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.05B. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HLI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

HLI price chart and AI forecast

HLI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How HLI ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.05B $3.83B 14/44
P/E Ratio 21.77x 19.89x 14/33
P/B Ratio 4.01x 3.33x 18/37
Dividend Yield 2.02% 2.82% 19/30
EPS $5.95 – –
Book Value/Share $32.27 – –
Revenue/Share $36.10 – –
FCF/Share $6.93 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
ROE 18.0% 18.0% 17/33
ROA 10.9% 6.7% 11/33
Gross Margin 31.5% – –
Operating Margin 20.4% 22.0% 12/22
Net Margin 16.1% 13.1% 12/34
EBT Margin 21.8% 25.0% 21/36
Tax Rate 26.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.60x 1.48x 28/39
Financial Leverage 1.65x 2.91x 26/34
Interest Coverage 390.4x 5.5x 2/23

Cash Flow

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $500M $261M 15/41
Free Cash Flow $485M $367M 11/26
Capital Spending -$15M -$7M 16/26
OCF Growth YoY -36.0% 6.6% 24/29
FCF Growth YoY -34.5% 8.5% 20/23
FCF/Sales 19.2% 27.8% 16/25
CapEx/Sales 0.6% 0.7% 17/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.68x 0.32x 8/29
Receivables Turnover 11.3x 8.6x 6/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 17.6x 25.3x 18/26
Days Sales Outstanding 32 days 43 days 14/19

Income Statement

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $2.52B $1.83B 13/34
Operating Income $515M $130M 5/25
Net Income $406M $228M 11/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHLIIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.61 – –
Payout Ratio 43.9% 56.6% 14/23
Shares Outstanding 70M – –
Net Income Growth -0.5% 6.7% 19/28
EPS Growth 0.2% 11.9% 14/23

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$745M20.6% of assets
Accounts Receivable$224M6.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.35B37.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HLI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $18.67B – 13.3x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▲ $16.68B 48.7x 13.5x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.99B 89.7x 7.0x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.85B 19.9x 7.7x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.72B 17.1x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▶ $5.15B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.48B 17.4x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▼ $1.88B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $901M 41.1x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $764M 31.3x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $512M – 13.8x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $188M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $170M 22.8x 1.4x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.8x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $82M 8.3x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $35M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $2M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where HLI sits on the market map

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FAQ

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Houlihan Lokey, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Houlihan Lokey, Inc. stock predictions?

For HLI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Houlihan Lokey, Inc. forecasts updated?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Houlihan Lokey, Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, HLI included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.