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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -2.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $6.68B mid-cap · #16 of 44 peers
Summary

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $6.68B. It ranks number 16 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For VCTR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, VCTR included.

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Price

VCTR price chart and AI forecast

VCTR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How VCTR ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $6.68B $3.83B 16/44
P/E Ratio 16.94x 19.71x 20/33
P/B Ratio 2.81x 3.33x 23/37
Dividend Yield 2.48% 2.82% 17/30
EPS $6.41 – –
Book Value/Share $38.61 – –
Revenue/Share $28.91 – –
FCF/Share $9.16 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.4% 18.0% 15/33
ROA 11.0% 6.7% 10/33
Operating Margin 36.2% 22.0% 4/22
Net Margin 25.9% 13.1% 5/34
EBT Margin 34.1% 25.0% 12/36
Tax Rate 23.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 0.76x 1.48x 26/39
Financial Leverage 1.76x 2.91x 25/34
Interest Coverage 14.0x 5.5x 7/23

Cash Flow

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $567M $261M 13/41
Free Cash Flow $564M $367M 8/26
Capital Spending -$4M -$7M 9/26
OCF Growth YoY 113.2% 6.6% 2/29
FCF Growth YoY 114.2% 8.5% 2/23
FCF/Sales 31.7% 27.8% 11/25
CapEx/Sales 0.2% 0.7% 22/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.43x 0.32x 12/29
Receivables Turnover 7.3x 8.6x 13/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 83.0x 25.3x 2/26
Days Sales Outstanding 50 days 43 days 7/19

Income Statement

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.78B $1.83B 18/34
Operating Income $644M $130M 2/25
Net Income $461M $228M 8/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricVCTRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $2.70 – –
Payout Ratio 42.1% 56.6% 15/23
Shares Outstanding 62M – –
Net Income Growth 64.8% 6.7% 4/28
EPS Growth 62.7% 11.9% 3/23

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$70M1.7% of assets
Accounts Receivable$244M5.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.80B43.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

VCTR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▶ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $763M 31.2x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $503M – 13.6x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $166M 22.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 8.1x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $37M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $1M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where VCTR sits on the market map

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Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) stock news

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FAQ

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. (VCTR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For VCTR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -2.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 0.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Victory Capital Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, VCTR included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.