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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 59.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $185M small-cap · #38 of 44 peers
Summary

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, RILY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $185M. It ranks number 38 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 1.66x is the lowest of the 33 peers that report one. Its ROE of 95.3% is the highest of the 33 peers that report one.

For RILY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 59.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

RILY price chart and AI forecast

RILY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RILY ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $185M $3.83B 38/44
P/E Ratio 1.66x 19.71x 33/33
P/B Ratio 1.30x 3.33x 30/37
EPS $2.78 – –
Book Value/Share $3.54 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
ROE 95.3% 18.0% 1/33
ROA 6.9% 6.7% 16/33
Gross Margin 95.1% – –
Operating Margin 16.3% 22.0% 13/22
Net Margin 10.6% 13.1% 19/34
EBT Margin 8.6% 25.0% 30/36
Tax Rate -8.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 12.42x 1.48x 4/39
Financial Leverage 13.84x 2.91x 3/34
Interest Coverage 2.1x 5.5x 16/23

Cash Flow

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $75M $261M 25/41

Operational Efficiency

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
Inventory Turnover 3.8x – –
Days Inventory 95 days – –
Payables Period 71 days – –

Income Statement

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
Operating Income $208M $130M 9/25
Net Income $135M $228M 22/37
SG&A Expense $699M $321M 4/10
Cost of Goods Sold $181M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRILYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 40M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$154M8.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$61M3.2% of assets
Inventory$47M2.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.77B92.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

RILY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▲ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $764M 31.3x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $512M – 13.8x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $170M 22.8x 1.4x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $82M 8.3x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $35M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $2M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where RILY sits on the market map

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News

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) stock news

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FAQ

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Brc Group Holdings, Inc. (RILY) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, RILY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Brc Group Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?

For RILY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 59.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 37.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Brc Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?

Brc Group Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Brc Group Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, RILY included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.