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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 14.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $81M small-cap · #41 of 44 peers
Summary

Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Hennessy Advisors Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Hennessy Advisors Inc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $81M. It ranks number 41 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For HNNA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

HNNA price chart and AI forecast

HNNA
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How HNNA ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $81M $3.83B 41/44
P/E Ratio 8.14x 19.71x 30/33
P/B Ratio 0.80x 3.33x 35/37
Dividend Yield 5.49% 2.82% 5/30
EPS $1.26 – –
Book Value/Share $12.80 – –
Revenue/Share $4.22 – –
FCF/Share $1.29 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
ROE 8.2% 18.0% 24/33
ROA 6.7% 6.7% 17/33
ROIC 9.4% 14.7% 5/6
Operating Margin 33.4% 22.0% 5/22
Net Margin 24.8% 13.1% 6/34
EBT Margin 33.7% 25.0% 13/36
Tax Rate 26.5% – –

Financial Health

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 9.39x 2.47x 1/7
D/E Ratio 0.21x 1.48x 37/39
Financial Leverage 1.21x 2.91x 33/34
Interest Coverage 3.8x 5.5x 13/23
Working Capital $35M $35M 4/7

Cash Flow

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $11M $261M 30/41
Free Cash Flow $10M $367M 21/26
Capital Spending -$330K -$7M 1/26
OCF Growth YoY -21.8% 6.6% 21/29
FCF Growth YoY -22.1% 8.5% 18/23
FCF/Sales 30.5% 27.8% 12/25
CapEx/Sales 1.0% 0.7% 8/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.27x 0.32x 17/29
Fixed Assets Turnover 73.9x 25.3x 4/26

Income Statement

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $33M $1.83B 34/34
Operating Income $11M $130M 16/25
Net Income $8M $228M 29/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricHNNAIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.56 – –
Payout Ratio 44.4% 56.6% 13/23
Shares Outstanding 8M – –
Net Income Growth -16.3% 6.7% 22/28
EPS Growth 37.0% 11.9% 8/23

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$39M32.1% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$35M28.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$22M17.6% of assets
Short-term Debt$1M1.2% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

HNNA quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Hennessy Advisors Inc (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 8.1x 0.8x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▲ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $763M 31.2x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $503M – 13.6x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $166M 22.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $37M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $1M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where HNNA sits on the market map

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FAQ

Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Hennessy Advisors Inc (HNNA) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Hennessy Advisors Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Hennessy Advisors Inc stock predictions?

For HNNA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 14.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Hennessy Advisors Inc forecasts updated?

Hennessy Advisors Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Hennessy Advisors Inc's industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, HNNA included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.