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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 27.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $38.43B large-cap · #4 of 26 peers
Summary

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, IBKR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $38.43B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its D/E Ratio of 50.21x is the highest of the 23 peers that report one. Its Dividend Yield of 0.38% is the lowest of the 12 peers that report one.

For IBKR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

IBKR price chart and AI forecast

IBKR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How IBKR ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $38.43B $5.18B 4/26
P/E Ratio 35.85x 15.14x 3/19
P/B Ratio 35.26x 2.37x 2/21
Dividend Yield 0.38% 2.62% 12/12
EPS $2.40 – –
Book Value/Share $2.44 – –
Revenue/Share $25.35 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
EBT Margin 225.8% 20.3% 2/21
Tax Rate 8.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 50.21x 6.41x 1/23

Cash Flow

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $15.91B $198M 1/22
OCF Growth YoY 5.1% -4.1% 7/15

Operational Efficiency

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 257.4x 33.4x 2/9
Days Sales Outstanding 1 days 11 days 8/9

Income Statement

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $11.32B $2.39B 6/21
SG&A Expense $260M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricIBKRIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.33 – –
Payout Ratio 13.8% 32.5% 10/11
Shares Outstanding 447M – –
EPS Growth 68.1% 39.9% 6/17

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$7.71B13.8% of assets
Accounts Receivable$44M0.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$54.73B98.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

IBKR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. ▶ $38.43B 35.9x 35.3x
MS Morgan Stanley ▶ $283.60B 14.6x 2.4x
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc ▲ $256.60B 13.6x 2.1x
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. ▲ $88.89B 43.9x –
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc ▶ $30.16B 13.7x 2.4x
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc ▼ $26.81B 6.1x 1.2x
SEIC Sei Investments Co ▼ $12.53B 18.4x 5.0x
FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. ▼ $11.10B 71.8x 7.2x
SF Stifel Financial Corp ▲ $10.46B 11.6x 1.8x
JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ▲ $10.33B 15.1x 1.0x
VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. ▶ $8.82B 9.4x 4.7x
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. ▼ $6.31B – –
MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc ▼ $5.79B 18.6x 4.7x
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies ▲ $4.57B 19.0x 3.3x
WT Wisdomtree, Inc. ▲ $3.24B 24.9x 7.7x
MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.07B 32.2x 2.7x
ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. ▼ $2.04B – –
JSM Navient Corp ▲ $1.55B – 0.7x
OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc ▲ $1.08B 11.3x 1.1x
ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $669M 15.3x 0.9x
MTC Mmtec, Inc. ▶ $531M – 41.0x
CSHR Coinshares Plc ▲ $511M – –
SIEB Siebert Financial Corp ▲ $85M 8.3x 1.0x
COHN Cohen & Co Inc. ▶ $69M 2.3x 1.1x
DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. ▲ $49M – 2.3x
LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd ▼ $140K – –
GLDI Credit Suisse Ag ▼ N/A – –

Where IBKR sits on the market map

Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
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News

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) stock news

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FAQ

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, IBKR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. stock predictions?

For IBKR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. forecasts updated?

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.'s industry peers?

27 issuers in our coverage, IBKR included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.