Nomura Details Progress of ¥60 Billion Share Buyback and Treasury Share Movements for September 2026
Detailed price information for Nomura Holdings Inc ADR (NMR-N) from The Globe and Mail including charting and trades.
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
26.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$26.81B
large-cap · #6 of 26 peers
Summary
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Nomura Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Nomura Holdings Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $26.81B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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NMR price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How NMR ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-03-31
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $26.81B | 6/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 6.05x | 18/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.15x | 15/21 |
| EPS | $1.53 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $8.05 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 19.0% | 7/18 |
| ROA | 1.1% | 11/16 |
| Net Margin | 7.4% | 11/17 |
| EBT Margin | 10.6% | 14/21 |
| Tax Rate | 28.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 15.86x | 4/23 |
| Financial Leverage | 16.90x | 3/21 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$10.11B | 20/22 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Net Income | $4.67B | 3/18 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NMR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2901M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 171.7% | 2/16 |
| EPS Growth | 179.1% | 2/17 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $27.08B | 6.9% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $904M | 0.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $370.41B | 94.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
NMR quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nomura Holdings Inc (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NMR Nomura Holdings Inc | ▼ | $26.81B |
| MS Morgan Stanley | ▶ | $283.60B |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ | $256.60B |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | ▲ | $88.89B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | ▶ | $38.43B |
| RJF Raymond James Financial Inc | ▶ | $30.16B |
| SEIC Sei Investments Co | ▼ | $12.53B |
| FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. | ▼ | $11.10B |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | ▲ | $10.46B |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | ▲ | $10.33B |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $8.82B |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. | ▼ | $6.31B |
| MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc | ▼ | $5.79B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | ▲ | $4.57B |
| WT Wisdomtree, Inc. | ▲ | $3.24B |
| MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $3.07B |
| ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. | ▼ | $2.04B |
| JSM Navient Corp | ▲ | $1.55B |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc | ▲ | $1.08B |
| ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $669M |
| MTC Mmtec, Inc. | ▶ | $531M |
| CSHR Coinshares Plc | ▲ | $511M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp | ▲ | $85M |
| COHN Cohen & Co Inc. | ▼ | $73M |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $49M |
| LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $140K |
| GLDI Credit Suisse Ag | ▼ | N/A |
Where NMR sits on the market map
Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
News
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock news
Nomura Holdings Reports September 2026 Share Buyback Status with Full Utilization of Monetary Limit
Per the filing, Nomura Holdings, Inc. did not conduct any open-market repurchases of its common stock during September 2026.
Form 6-K NOMURA HOLDINGS INC For: Jul 29
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F. Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant ...
FAQ
Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Nomura Holdings Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Nomura Holdings Inc stock predictions?
For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts updated?
Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nomura Holdings Inc's industry peers?
27 issuers in our coverage, NMR included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.