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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 33.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $27.33B large-cap · #6 of 26 peers
Summary

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Nomura Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Nomura Holdings Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $27.33B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NMR included.

Price

NMR price chart and AI forecast

NMR
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How NMR ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $27.33B $5.00B 6/26
P/E Ratio 6.17x 14.40x 18/19
P/B Ratio 1.17x 2.43x 15/21
EPS $1.53 – –
Book Value/Share $8.05 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.0% 17.8% 8/19
ROA 1.1% 2.1% 12/17
Net Margin 7.4% 13.7% 12/18
EBT Margin 10.6% 20.3% 14/21
Tax Rate 28.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 15.86x 6.41x 4/23
Financial Leverage 16.90x 7.42x 3/21

Cash Flow

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$10.11B $231M 20/22

Income Statement

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Net Income $4.67B $299M 3/19

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 2901M – –
Net Income Growth 171.7% 30.5% 2/16
EPS Growth 179.1% 30.7% 2/17

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)

Cash & Short-term Investments$27.08B6.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$904M0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$370.41B94.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NMR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nomura Holdings Inc (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc $27.33B 6.2x 1.2x
MS Morgan Stanley $284.96B 14.4x 2.4x
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc $252.10B 12.5x 2.0x
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. $72.74B 31.5x –
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. $32.95B 24.2x 30.2x
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc $31.32B 14.2x 2.5x
SEIC Sei Investments Co $12.47B 18.3x 5.0x
FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. $10.94B 70.7x 7.1x
JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. $10.88B 16.0x 1.0x
SF Stifel Financial Corp $10.77B 11.9x 1.8x
VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. $8.37B 7.9x 4.2x
MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc $5.83B 19.4x 4.6x
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. $5.34B – –
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies $4.66B 19.8x 3.4x
MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. $3.45B 11.9x 2.8x
WT Wisdomtree, Inc. $2.88B 20.2x 6.5x
ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. $1.92B – –
OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc $972M 13.0x 1.0x
NAVI Navient Llc $844M – 0.4x
ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. $663M 15.1x 0.9x
MTC Mmtec, Inc. $509M – 39.3x
CSHR Coinshares Plc $498M – –
SIEB Siebert Financial Corp $77M 7.6x 0.9x
COHN Cohen & Co Inc. $68M 2.2x 1.1x
DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. $35M – 1.6x
LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd $70K – –
GLDI Credit Suisse Ag N/A – –

Where NMR sits on the market map

Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
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News

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FAQ

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Nomura Holdings Inc every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Nomura Holdings Inc stock predictions?

For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 33.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts updated?

Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Nomura Holdings Inc's industry peers?

27 issuers in our coverage, NMR included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.