Morgan Stanley says SpaceX stock is now cheaper than the S&P 500
Five months after its blockbuster IPO, SpaceX investors are back where they started; Morgan Stanley sees an opening.
Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Our AI scores Morgan Stanley every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
Morgan Stanley is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $284.96B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MS included.
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $284.96B | 1/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.40x | 10/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.43x | 11/21 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.45% | 8/12 |
| EPS | $12.60 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $74.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $83.34 | – |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 17.5% | 12/19 |
| ROA | 1.2% | 10/17 |
| Net Margin | 15.6% | 5/18 |
| EBT Margin | 20.3% | 11/21 |
| Tax Rate | 22.2% | – |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 13.44x | 5/23 |
| Financial Leverage | 14.45x | 4/21 |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$58.28B | 22/22 |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.08x | 14/17 |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $130.88B | 1/21 |
| Net Income | $20.45B | 2/19 |
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.45 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 35.3% | 6/11 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1571M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 26.4% | 10/16 |
| EPS Growth | 29.1% | 10/17 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $138.67B | 8.2% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.57T | 93.1% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Morgan Stanley (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MS Morgan Stanley | $284.96B | |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc | $253.01B | |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | $72.74B | |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | $32.95B | |
| RJF Raymond James Financial Inc | $31.32B | |
| NMR Nomura Holdings Inc | $27.33B | |
| SEIC Sei Investments Co | $12.47B | |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $11.16B | |
| FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. | $10.94B | |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | $10.77B | |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | $8.37B | |
| MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc | $5.83B | |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. | $5.34B | |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | $4.66B | |
| MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. | $3.45B | |
| WT Wisdomtree, Inc. | $2.88B | |
| ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. | $1.90B | |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc | $972M | |
| NAVI Navient Llc | $844M | |
| ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. | $663M | |
| MTC Mmtec, Inc. | $509M | |
| CSHR Coinshares Plc | $498M | |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp | $77M | |
| COHN Cohen & Co Inc. | $68M | |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | $35M | |
| LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd | $70K | |
| GLDI Credit Suisse Ag | N/A |
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Our AI scores Morgan Stanley every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.
For MS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Morgan Stanley forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.
27 issuers in our coverage, MS included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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