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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 26.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $26.81B large-cap · #6 of 26 peers
Summary

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, NMR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

Nomura Holdings Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $26.81B. It ranks number 6 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

NMR price chart and AI forecast

NMR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NMR ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-03-31

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in JPY and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $26.81B $5.18B 6/26
P/E Ratio 6.05x 15.14x 18/19
P/B Ratio 1.15x 2.37x 15/21
EPS $1.53 – –
Book Value/Share $8.05 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.0% 17.2% 7/18
ROA 1.1% 1.6% 11/16
Net Margin 7.4% 13.3% 11/17
EBT Margin 10.6% 20.3% 14/21
Tax Rate 28.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 15.86x 6.41x 4/23
Financial Leverage 16.90x 7.42x 3/21

Cash Flow

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$10.11B $198M 20/22

Income Statement

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Net Income $4.67B $307M 3/18

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNMRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 2901M – –
Net Income Growth 171.7% 36.3% 2/16
EPS Growth 179.1% 39.9% 2/17

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from JPY)

Cash & Short-term Investments$27.08B6.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$904M0.2% of assets
Total Liabilities$370.41B94.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NMR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nomura Holdings Inc (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc ▶ $26.81B 6.1x 1.2x
MS Morgan Stanley ▶ $283.60B 14.6x 2.4x
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc ▲ $256.60B 13.6x 2.1x
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. ▲ $88.89B 43.9x –
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. ▲ $38.43B 35.9x 35.3x
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc ▶ $30.16B 13.7x 2.4x
SEIC Sei Investments Co ▼ $12.53B 18.4x 5.0x
FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. ▼ $11.10B 71.8x 7.2x
SF Stifel Financial Corp ▲ $10.46B 11.6x 1.8x
JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ▲ $10.33B 15.1x 1.0x
VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. ▼ $8.82B 9.4x 4.7x
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. ▲ $6.31B – –
MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc ▼ $5.79B 18.6x 4.7x
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies ▲ $4.57B 19.0x 3.3x
WT Wisdomtree, Inc. ▲ $3.24B 24.9x 7.7x
MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.07B 32.2x 2.7x
ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. ▶ $2.04B – –
JSM Navient Corp ▶ $1.55B – 0.7x
OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc ▲ $1.08B 11.3x 1.1x
ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $669M 15.3x 0.9x
MTC Mmtec, Inc. ▲ $531M – 41.0x
CSHR Coinshares Plc ▲ $511M – –
SIEB Siebert Financial Corp ▲ $85M 8.3x 1.0x
COHN Cohen & Co Inc. ▼ $69M 2.3x 1.1x
DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. ▲ $47M – 2.2x
LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd ▼ $130K – –
GLDI Credit Suisse Ag ▼ N/A – –

Where NMR sits on the market map

Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
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News

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock news

source: streetinsider

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant files or will file annual reports under cover Form 20-F or Form 40-F. Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant ...

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FAQ

Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, NMR is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Nomura Holdings Inc stock predictions?

For NMR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts updated?

Nomura Holdings Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Nomura Holdings Inc's industry peers?

27 issuers in our coverage, NMR included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.