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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $1M small-cap · #44 of 44 peers
Summary

Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Triller Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Triller Group Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $1M. It ranks number 44 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of -375.8% is the lowest of the 34 peers that report one.

For ILLR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

ILLR price chart and AI forecast

ILLR
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How ILLR ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $1M $3.83B 44/44
EPS $-7.32 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
ROA -234.4% 6.7% 33/33
ROIC 18.4% 14.7% 3/6
Operating Margin -322.9% 22.0% 22/22
Net Margin -375.8% 13.1% 34/34
EBT Margin -384.1% 25.0% 36/36
Tax Rate -0.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.03x 2.47x 7/7
Interest Coverage -2.3x 5.5x 20/23
Working Capital -$391M $35M 7/7

Cash Flow

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$22M $261M 34/41

Income Statement

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$68M $130M 24/25
Net Income -$79M $228M 36/37
R&D Expense $2M – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricILLRIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 21M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$14M
Cash & Short-term Investments$2M
Accounts Receivable$1M
Total Liabilities$407M
Short-term Debt$396M
Quarterly Financial Reports

ILLR quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Triller Group Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $1M – –
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▶ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $763M 31.2x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $503M – 13.6x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $166M 22.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 8.1x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $37M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where ILLR sits on the market map

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FAQ

Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Triller Group Inc. (ILLR) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Triller Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Triller Group Inc. stock predictions?

For ILLR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 6.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Triller Group Inc. forecasts updated?

Triller Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Triller Group Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, ILLR included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.