Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Our AI ranks Jefferies Financial Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.33B. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For JEF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, JEF included.
Follow JEF free90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $10.33B | 10/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 15.14x | 10/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 0.96x | 18/21 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.58% | 4/12 |
| EPS | $2.96 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $46.47 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $52.78 | – |
| FCF/Share | $18.20 | – |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 8.8% | 14/18 |
| ROA | 1.1% | 10/16 |
| Gross Margin | 98.7% | – |
| Net Margin | 7.7% | 10/17 |
| EBT Margin | 9.3% | 16/21 |
| Tax Rate | 19.3% | – |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 6.58x | 11/23 |
| Financial Leverage | 7.59x | 10/21 |
| Interest Coverage | 2.6x | 7/12 |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $4.41B | 2/22 |
| Free Cash Flow | $4.20B | 1/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$218M | 11/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 436.0% | 2/15 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 596.8% | 1/11 |
| FCF/Sales | 34.5% | 1/14 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.8% | 6/14 |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.15x | 11/17 |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $12.17B | 5/21 |
| Net Income | $937M | 6/18 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $156M | – |
| Metric | JEF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $1.60 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 54.0% | 3/11 |
| Shares Outstanding | 231M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 44.8% | 6/16 |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $16.88B | 20.8% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $70.55B | 86.8% of assets |
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | ▲ | $10.33B |
| MS Morgan Stanley | ▶ | $283.60B |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ | $256.60B |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | ▲ | $88.89B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | ▲ | $38.43B |
| RJF Raymond James Financial Inc | ▶ | $30.16B |
| NMR Nomura Holdings Inc | ▶ | $26.81B |
| SEIC Sei Investments Co | ▼ | $12.53B |
| FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. | ▼ | $11.10B |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | ▲ | $10.46B |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | ▼ | $8.82B |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. | ▲ | $6.31B |
| MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc | ▼ | $5.79B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | ▲ | $4.57B |
| WT Wisdomtree, Inc. | ▲ | $3.24B |
| MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $3.07B |
| ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. | ▶ | $2.04B |
| JSM Navient Corp | ▶ | $1.55B |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc | ▲ | $1.08B |
| ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $669M |
| MTC Mmtec, Inc. | ▲ | $531M |
| CSHR Coinshares Plc | ▲ | $511M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp | ▲ | $85M |
| COHN Cohen & Co Inc. | ▼ | $69M |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $49M |
| LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $140K |
| GLDI Credit Suisse Ag | ▼ | N/A |
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Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:JEF) reported stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings as investment banking and equities trading benefited from a recovery in global dealmaking. However, ...
The law firm of Kirby McInerney LLP is investigating potential claims against Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. (“Jefferies” or the “Company”) (NYSE:JEF). The investigation concerns whether the Company ...
Our AI ranks Jefferies Financial Group Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
For JEF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 22.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Jefferies Financial Group Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
27 issuers in our coverage, JEF included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
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