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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 253 dates
Market Cap $13.63B large-cap · #5 of 13 peers
Summary

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Latam Airlines Group S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Latam Airlines Group S.A. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.63B. It ranks number 5 by market capitalization among the 13 Air Transportation, Scheduled issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For LTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 253 forecast dates between 2024-07-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 296 forecast dates between 2024-07-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

LTM price chart and AI forecast

LTM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How LTM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Air Transportation, Scheduled peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $13.63B $5.47B 5/13
P/E Ratio 2373.46x 29.42x 1/6
EPS $0.02 – –
Revenue/Share $167.50 – –
FCF/Share $15.76 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
ROIC 59.6% 8.2% 1/7
Gross Margin 23.9% – –
Operating Margin 12.8% 5.3% 1/9
EBT Margin 9.5% 3.3% 1/9
Tax Rate 4.3% – –

Financial Health

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.60x 0.60x 6/11
Quick Ratio 0.54x – –
D/E Ratio 12.12x 2.92x 2/10
Financial Leverage 13.11x 4.44x 2/8
Working Capital -$2.91B -$2.91B 6/11

Cash Flow

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $9.20B $2.53B 1/9
Free Cash Flow $4.53B $117M 1/7
Capital Spending -$4.68B -$2.98B 6/7
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% – –
FCF/Sales 9.4% 0.5% 1/7
CapEx/Sales 9.7% 9.9% 5/7

Operational Efficiency

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.73x 0.83x 1/7
Inventory Turnover 79.8x – –
Fixed Assets Turnover 4.0x 1.5x 2/9
Days Inventory 5 days – –
Payables Period 27 days – –

Income Statement

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $48.10B $30.07B 4/9
Operating Income $6.17B $1.01B 1/9
Cost of Goods Sold $36.59B – –

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricLTMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 287M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$4.38B24.8% of assets
Inventory$459M2.6% of assets
Total Liabilities$16.30B92.4% of assets
Short-term Debt$4.61B26.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

LTM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Air Transportation, Scheduled

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Latam Airlines Group S.A. (Air Transportation, Scheduled): 13 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
LTM Latam Airlines Group S.A. ▼ $13.63B 2373.5x –
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. ▼ $49.57B 14.0x 2.2x
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. ▶ $31.19B 9.0x 1.9x
RYAAY Ryanair Holdings Plc ▼ $27.42B – –
LUV Southwest Airlines Co ▶ $19.32B 45.4x 2.4x
AAL American Airlines Group Inc. ▶ $7.86B – –
CPA Copa Holdings, S.A. ▼ $5.47B – –
ALK Alaska Air Group, Inc. ▲ $3.92B – 1.1x
ALGT Allegiant Travel Co ▶ $1.83B 44.7x 1.7x
AZUL Azul Sa ▼ $1.17B – –
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. ▲ $1.08B – 4.9x
RJET Republic Airways Holdings Inc. ▼ $751M 14.2x 0.5x
FJET Starfighters Space, Inc. ▲ $61M – 2.1x

Where LTM sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Air Transportation, Scheduled
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News

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) stock news

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FAQ

Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Latam Airlines Group S.A. (LTM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Latam Airlines Group S.A. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Latam Airlines Group S.A. stock predictions?

For LTM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 253 forecast dates between 2024-07-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -4.0%, measured on 296 forecast dates between 2024-07-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Latam Airlines Group S.A. forecasts updated?

Latam Airlines Group S.A. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Latam Airlines Group S.A.'s industry peers?

13 issuers in our coverage, LTM included, share the SEC industry code Air Transportation, Scheduled. The largest are: Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL), United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL), Ryanair Holdings Plc (RYAAY), Southwest Airlines Co (LUV), American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL), Copa Holdings, S.A. (CPA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.