Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq
Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Marriott International Inc /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Marriott International Inc /Md/ is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $101.19B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 26 Hotels & Motels issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How MAR ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels & Motels peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $101.19B | 1/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 40.13x | 5/15 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.72% | 11/14 |
| EPS | $9.67 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $103.17 | – |
| FCF/Share | $12.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 9.2% | 6/19 |
| ROIC | 21.1% | 4/16 |
| Operating Margin | 15.8% | 8/20 |
| Net Margin | 9.6% | 7/20 |
| EBT Margin | 12.9% | 8/23 |
| Tax Rate | 25.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.53x | 20/21 |
| Interest Coverage | 4.0x | 8/23 |
| Working Capital | -$3.68B | 21/21 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $3.73B | 2/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $3.13B | 1/17 |
| Capital Spending | -$596M | 13/17 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 49.8% | 4/22 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 86.2% | 4/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 11.6% | 5/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.2% | 15/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.96x | 1/19 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 14.7x | 3/18 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $26.90B | 1/20 |
| Operating Income | $4.25B | 1/21 |
| Net Income | $2.59B | 1/21 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.80 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 29.0% | 9/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 261M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 4.9% | 8/15 |
| EPS Growth | 8.9% | 7/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $4.23B | 15.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $462M | 1.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $32.61B |
MAR quarterly financials and insider trading
Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Marriott International Inc /Md/ (Hotels & Motels): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MAR Marriott International Inc /Md/ | ▼ | $101.19B |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $77.67B |
| IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ | ▼ | $27.63B |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp | ▲ | $24.62B |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corp | ▼ | $15.94B |
| HTHT H World Group Ltd | ▶ | $14.28B |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd | ▲ | $7.78B |
| MGM Mgm Resorts International | ▲ | $7.20B |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $5.87B |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.61B |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.18B |
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corp | ▼ | $5.09B |
| CHH Choice Hotels International Inc /De | ▼ | $4.88B |
| ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $4.59B |
| TNL Travel & Leisure Co. | ▼ | $3.95B |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $3.20B |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | ▶ | $2.20B |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc | ▼ | $2.08B |
| PENN Penn Entertainment, Inc. | ▶ | $2.00B |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $1.75B |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd | ▶ | $1.60B |
| BALY Bally's Corp | ▲ | $657M |
| MSC Studio City International Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $206M |
| FLL Full House Resorts Inc | ▲ | $40M |
| CNTY Century Casinos Inc /Co/ | ▲ | $22M |
| HIGR Hi-Great Group Holding Co | ▲ | $840K |
Where MAR sits on the market map
Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) stock news
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Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Marriott International Inc /Md/ outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Marriott International Inc /Md/ stock predictions?
For MAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 18.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Marriott International Inc /Md/ forecasts updated?
Marriott International Inc /Md/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Marriott International Inc /Md/'s industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, MAR included, share the SEC industry code Hotels & Motels. The largest are: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT), Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ (IHG), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp (H), H World Group Ltd (HTHT), Wynn Resorts Ltd (WYNN).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.