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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 61.0% Spearman, 196 dates
Market Cap $37M small-cap · #42 of 44 peers
Summary

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Mount Logan Capital Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Mount Logan Capital Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $37M. It ranks number 42 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.60x is the lowest of the 37 peers that report one.

For MLCI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 196 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MLCI included.

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Price

MLCI price chart and AI forecast

MLCI
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MLCI ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $37M $3.83B 42/44
P/B Ratio 0.60x 3.33x 37/37
EPS $-7.45 – –
Book Value/Share $5.43 – –
Revenue/Share $6.52 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
ROE -116.8% 18.0% 32/33
ROA -4.6% 6.7% 30/33
Net Margin -97.3% 13.1% 32/34
EBT Margin -94.0% 25.0% 35/36
Tax Rate -1.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 24.49x 1.48x 2/39
Financial Leverage 25.49x 2.91x 1/34

Cash Flow

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$54M $261M 39/41

Operational Efficiency

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.32x 26/29

Income Statement

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $73M $1.83B 32/34
Net Income -$71M $228M 35/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMLCIIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 11M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Liabilities$1.49B96.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

MLCI quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Mount Logan Capital Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $37M – 0.6x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▶ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▼ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▼ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▲ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▲ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▶ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $763M 31.2x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $503M – 13.6x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▶ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▶ $166M 22.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▶ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 8.1x 0.8x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▼ $1M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where MLCI sits on the market map

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News

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock news

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FAQ

Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Mount Logan Capital Inc. (MLCI) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Mount Logan Capital Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Mount Logan Capital Inc. stock predictions?

For MLCI, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 61.0%, measured on 196 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 42.0%, measured on 239 forecast dates between 2025-08-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Mount Logan Capital Inc. forecasts updated?

Mount Logan Capital Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Mount Logan Capital Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, MLCI included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.