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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Morgan Stanley (MS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
26.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$283.60B
mega-cap · #1 of 26 peers
Summary
Morgan Stanley (MS) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, MS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Morgan Stanley is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $283.60B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For MS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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MS price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How MS ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Morgan Stanley (MS) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $283.60B | 1/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 14.60x | 11/19 |
| P/B Ratio | 2.44x | 10/21 |
| Dividend Yield | 2.39% | 7/12 |
| EPS | $12.37 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $74.07 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $82.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 17.3% | 9/18 |
| ROA | 1.2% | 9/16 |
| Net Margin | 15.7% | 4/17 |
| EBT Margin | 20.3% | 11/21 |
| Tax Rate | 22.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 13.39x | 6/23 |
| Financial Leverage | 14.40x | 5/21 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$15.59B | 21/22 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.08x | 14/17 |
Income Statement
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $128.80B | 1/21 |
| Net Income | $20.16B | 2/18 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | MS | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $4.32 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 34.9% | 5/11 |
| Shares Outstanding | 1571M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 36.6% | 8/16 |
| EPS Growth | 39.9% | 9/17 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $160.13B | 9.6% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $1.56T | 93.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
MS quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
Morgan Stanley (MS) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Morgan Stanley (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| MS Morgan Stanley | ▶ | $283.60B |
| GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc | ▲ | $256.60B |
| HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. | ▲ | $88.89B |
| IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. | ▶ | $36.94B |
| RJF Raymond James Financial Inc | ▶ | $30.16B |
| NMR Nomura Holdings Inc | ▼ | $26.81B |
| SEIC Sei Investments Co | ▼ | $12.53B |
| FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. | ▼ | $11.10B |
| SF Stifel Financial Corp | ▲ | $10.46B |
| JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | ▲ | $10.33B |
| VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. | ▶ | $8.82B |
| GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. | ▼ | $6.31B |
| MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc | ▼ | $5.79B |
| PIPR Piper Sandler Companies | ▲ | $4.57B |
| WT Wisdomtree, Inc. | ▲ | $3.24B |
| MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $3.07B |
| ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. | ▼ | $2.04B |
| JSM Navient Corp | ▲ | $1.50B |
| OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc | ▲ | $1.08B |
| ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. | ▼ | $669M |
| MTC Mmtec, Inc. | ▶ | $604M |
| CSHR Coinshares Plc | ▲ | $511M |
| SIEB Siebert Financial Corp | ▲ | $83M |
| COHN Cohen & Co Inc. | ▶ | $69M |
| DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. | ▲ | $47M |
| LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd | ▼ | $130K |
| GLDI Credit Suisse Ag | ▼ | N/A |
Where MS sits on the market map
Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
News
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FAQ
Morgan Stanley (MS) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Morgan Stanley (MS) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, MS is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Morgan Stanley stock predictions?
For MS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 26.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Morgan Stanley forecasts updated?
Morgan Stanley forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Morgan Stanley's industry peers?
27 issuers in our coverage, MS included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR), Sei Investments Co (SEIC).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.