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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 57.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $9.54B mid-cap · #2 of 22 peers
Summary

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $9.54B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 1237.81x is the highest of the 10 peers that report one.

For MSGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 41.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, MSGS included.

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Price

MSGS price chart and AI forecast

MSGS
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How MSGS ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $9.54B $354M 2/22
P/E Ratio 1237.81x 17.82x 1/10
Dividend Yield 0.02% – –
EPS $0.32 – –
Revenue/Share $47.92 – –
FCF/Share $2.54 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
ROA 0.5% -3.9% 6/15
ROIC 3.2% 10.3% 10/15
Operating Margin 2.5% 10.1% 10/17
Net Margin 0.7% -1.0% 7/14
EBT Margin 1.6% 4.1% 10/18
Tax Rate 56.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.50x 0.82x 17/20
Interest Coverage 11.5x 1.9x 5/16
Working Capital -$319M -$115K 18/20

Cash Flow

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $63M $16M 10/23
Free Cash Flow $61M $80M 8/13
Capital Spending -$1M -$4M 4/13
OCF Growth YoY -31.6% -9.3% 9/12
FCF Growth YoY -30.4% -22.4% 8/11
FCF/Sales 5.3% 8.6% 9/12
CapEx/Sales 0.1% 6.1% 10/12

Operational Efficiency

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.75x 0.58x 5/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 42.5x 22.6x 4/13

Income Statement

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $1.15B $404M 7/15
Operating Income $29M $510K 7/21
Net Income $8M -$460K 5/17
SG&A Expense $286M $286M 6/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricMSGSIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.09 – –
Payout Ratio 28.1% – –
Shares Outstanding 24M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$323M21.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$165M10.7% of assets
Total Liabilities$1.80B
Quarterly Financial Reports

MSGS quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. ▼ $9.54B 1237.8x –
DIS Walt Disney Co ▼ $190.95B 22.9x 1.7x
DKNG Draftkings Inc. ▲ $9.31B – 16.4x
SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd ▼ $5.61B – –
MTN Vail Resorts Inc ▼ $5.38B 36.7x 12.7x
RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. ▲ $4.29B 63.9x 23.2x
STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2.24B – 1.4x
BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc ▶ $1.78B 8.3x 2.0x
GENI Genius Sports Ltd ▲ $1.70B – 2.4x
PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. ▲ $1.47B 11.0x –
FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. ▼ $403M – –
BUKS Butler National Corp ▶ $305M 13.3x 3.5x
SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. ▶ $290M – 0.7x
XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. ▲ $228M – –
ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. ▼ $154M – –
GRSD Grandstand Ltd ▶ $47M – –
SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. ▲ $34M – –
PRKA Parks America, Inc ▼ $31M 22.4x 2.0x
TBTC Table Trac Inc ▼ $23M 9.4x 1.6x
EVTK Eventiko Inc. ▶ $10M – –
BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. ▶ $2M – –
VIVC Vivic Corp. ▼ $300K 1.1x 0.2x
GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. ▶ N/A – –

Where MSGS sits on the market map

Trade & Services · Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation
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News

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) stock news

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FAQ

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. stock predictions?

For MSGS, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 57.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 41.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. forecasts updated?

Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Madison Square Garden Sports Corp.'s industry peers?

24 issuers in our coverage, MSGS included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Vail Resorts Inc (MTN), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI), Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.