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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 5.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $2.34B mid-cap · #17 of 20 peers
Summary

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.34B. It ranks number 17 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For NTB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NTB included.

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Price

NTB price chart and AI forecast

NTB
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How NTB ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $2.34B $89.28B 17/20
P/E Ratio 12.32x 11.35x 7/15
P/B Ratio 2.05x 2.07x 4/5
EPS $4.76 – –
Book Value/Share $28.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
ROE 19.4% 21.7% 7/12
ROA 1.6% 1.6% 8/15
Net Margin 38.4% 27.3% 2/12
EBT Margin 39.0% 33.9% 4/14
Tax Rate 1.7% – –

Financial Health

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 11.34x 14.46x 11/17
Financial Leverage 12.34x 15.47x 11/17

Cash Flow

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $266M $2.45B 12/20
OCF Growth YoY 8.0% -59.2% 4/16

Income Statement

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
Net Income $222M $11.23B 12/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricNTBIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 40M – –
EPS Growth 47.0% 22.1% 2/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$1.71B12.1% of assets
Total Liabilities$12.95B91.9% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

NTB quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▶ $195.37B 4.8x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▶ $160.23B 2.8x –
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▶ $146.83B – –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▶ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▶ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▶ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▶ $20.90B – –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▶ $6.02B – –
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where NTB sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) stock news

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FAQ

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd (NTB) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd stock predictions?

For NTB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 19.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd forecasts updated?

Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, NTB included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.