Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Nutrien Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Nutrien Ltd. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $34.66B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 12 Agricultural Chemicals issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NTR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NTR included.
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How NTR ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Agricultural Chemicals peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $34.66B | 1/12 |
| P/E Ratio | 3.14x | 4/5 |
| EPS | $22.73 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $246.33 | – |
| FCF/Share | $24.92 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 46.8% | 2/5 |
| ROA | 22.7% | 2/6 |
| ROIC | 46.4% | 2/8 |
| Gross Margin | 36.3% | 6/10 |
| Operating Margin | 16.0% | 4/11 |
| Net Margin | 9.9% | 4/8 |
| EBT Margin | 13.7% | 4/11 |
| Tax Rate | 27.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.34x | 7/11 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.70x | 8/10 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.06x | 6/8 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.07x | 5/7 |
| Working Capital | $3.71B | 1/11 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $20.72B | 1/12 |
| Free Cash Flow | $12.12B | 1/9 |
| Capital Spending | -$8.60B | 9/9 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 60.3% | 2/7 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | 4/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.1% | 4/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 7.2% | 5/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 2.29x | 2/9 |
| Receivables Turnover | 21.1x | 1/8 |
| Inventory Turnover | 10.9x | 2/10 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 17 days | 8/8 |
| Days Inventory | 33 days | 9/10 |
| Payables Period | 45 days | 6/9 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | 6 days | 6/6 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $119.80B | 1/11 |
| Operating Income | $19.15B | 1/12 |
| Net Income | $11.86B | 1/8 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $76.28B | 1/10 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NTR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 486M | – |
| EPS Growth | 65.3% | 3/6 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $14.75B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $701M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $5.67B | |
| Inventory | $6.98B | |
| Total Liabilities | $26.94B | |
| Short-term Debt | $1.73B |
NTR quarterly financials and insider trading
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Nutrien Ltd. (Agricultural Chemicals): 12 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NTR Nutrien Ltd. | ▼ | $34.66B |
| CF Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $18.29B |
| ICL Icl Group Ltd. | ▼ | $6.41B |
| MOS Mosaic Co | ▼ | $5.98B |
| SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro Co | ▶ | $3.18B |
| UAN Cvr Partners, Lp | ▼ | $1.34B |
| CBUS Cibus, Inc. | ▲ | $101M |
| AVD American Vanguard Corp | ▲ | $31M |
| BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. | ▶ | $18M |
| BNET Bion Environmental Technologies Inc | ▲ | $10M |
| EVGN Evogene Ltd. | ▶ | $6M |
| SNES Senestech, Inc. | ▶ | $4M |
Where NTR sits on the market map
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) stock news
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Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Nutrien Ltd. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Nutrien Ltd. stock predictions?
For NTR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 0.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -8.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Nutrien Ltd. forecasts updated?
Nutrien Ltd. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Nutrien Ltd.'s industry peers?
12 issuers in our coverage, NTR included, share the SEC industry code Agricultural Chemicals. The largest are: Cf Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF), Icl Group Ltd. (ICL), Mosaic Co (MOS), Scotts Miracle-Gro Co (SMG), Cvr Partners, Lp (UAN), Cibus, Inc. (CBUS).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.