Natwest Group Plc (NWG) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE
Natwest Group Plc (NWG) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, NWG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5185 stocks scored that day.
Natwest Group Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $70.31B. It ranks number 13 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For NWG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, NWG included.
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How NWG ranks among 5185 stocks
90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Natwest Group Plc (NWG) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in GBP and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $70.31B | 13/20 |
| P/E Ratio | 7.57x | 12/15 |
| EPS | $2.31 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $29.22 | – |
| FCF/Share | $8.38 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| EBT Margin | 23.1% | 11/14 |
| Tax Rate | 24.6% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 15.77x | 7/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 16.77x | 7/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $37.04B | 5/20 |
| Free Cash Flow | $33.63B | 2/11 |
| Capital Spending | -$3.41B | 9/11 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | 3/6 |
| FCF/Sales | 28.6% | 3/7 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.9% | 2/7 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.12x | 2/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $117.37B | 2/13 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | NWG | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 4015M | – |
| EPS Growth | 42.6% | 3/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from GBP)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $128.60B | |
| Total Liabilities | $905.46B |
NWG quarterly financials and insider trading
Natwest Group Plc (NWG) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Natwest Group Plc (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| NWG Natwest Group Plc | ▶ | $70.31B |
| RY Royal Bank Of Canada | ▼ | $277.04B |
| MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $259.67B |
| TD Toronto Dominion Bank | ▼ | $203.40B |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | ▶ | $195.37B |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | ▶ | $160.23B |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | ▶ | $146.83B |
| HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd | ▼ | $121.50B |
| BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ | ▼ | $118.44B |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ | ▼ | $104.22B |
| ING Ing Groep Nv | ▶ | $97.09B |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc | ▼ | $81.48B |
| BCS Barclays Plc | ▼ | $77.53B |
| BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. | ▶ | $20.90B |
| BSAC Banco Santander Chile | ▼ | $15.40B |
| GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa | ▶ | $6.02B |
| NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd | ▼ | $2.34B |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.44B |
| PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp | ▶ | $769M |
| VBNK Versabank | ▶ | $710M |
| AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. | ▶ | N/A |
| DJP Barclays Bank Plc | ▼ | N/A |
| WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp | ▼ | N/A |
Where NWG sits on the market map
Natwest Group Plc (NWG) stock news
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Natwest Group Plc (NWG) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Natwest Group Plc (NWG) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, NWG is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5185 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Natwest Group Plc stock predictions?
For NWG, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 30.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 21.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Natwest Group Plc forecasts updated?
Natwest Group Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Natwest Group Plc's industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, NWG included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Royal Bank Of Canada (RY), Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.