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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Neutral Total
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5184 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 23.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $13.80B large-cap · #9 of 44 peers
Summary

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, OWL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

Blue Owl Capital Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $13.80B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 44 Investment Advice issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/E Ratio of 88.50x is the highest of the 33 peers that report one.

For OWL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, OWL included.

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Price

OWL price chart and AI forecast

OWL
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How OWL ranks among 5184 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Investment Advice peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $13.80B $3.83B 9/44
P/E Ratio 88.50x 19.71x 1/33
P/B Ratio 6.91x 3.33x 12/37
Dividend Yield 4.36% 2.82% 10/30
EPS $0.10 – –
Book Value/Share $1.28 – –
Revenue/Share $0.37 – –
FCF/Share $0.85 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
ROE 4.0% 18.0% 29/33
ROA 0.7% 6.7% 27/33
Net Margin 14.1% 13.1% 16/34
EBT Margin 68.1% 25.0% 2/36
Tax Rate 13.2% – –

Financial Health

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 3.37x 1.48x 13/39
Financial Leverage 6.18x 2.91x 7/34

Cash Flow

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.38B $261M 8/41
Free Cash Flow $1.32B $367M 5/26
Capital Spending -$56M -$7M 21/26
OCF Growth YoY 26.6% 6.6% 10/29
FCF Growth YoY 27.1% 8.5% 10/23
FCF/Sales 231.3% 27.8% 1/25
CapEx/Sales 9.9% 0.7% 1/25

Operational Efficiency

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.32x 26/29
Receivables Turnover 15.5x 8.6x 4/19
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.5x 25.3x 26/26
Days Sales Outstanding 24 days 43 days 16/19

Income Statement

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $572M $1.83B 24/34
Net Income $81M $228M 25/37

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricOWLIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.39 – –
Payout Ratio 390.0% 56.6% 1/23
Shares Outstanding 1559M – –
Net Income Growth 7.3% 6.7% 14/28
EPS Growth -37.5% 11.9% 19/23

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$169M1.9% of assets
Accounts Receivable$37M0.4% of assets
Total Liabilities$6.72B77.1% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

OWL quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Investment Advice

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Blue Owl Capital Inc. (Investment Advice): 45 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. ▶ $13.80B 88.5x 6.9x
BX Blackstone Inc. ▲ $129.99B 24.1x 14.4x
KKR Kkr & Co. Inc. ▲ $78.66B 25.0x 2.5x
APO Apollo Global Management, Inc. ▶ $65.42B 32.3x 3.1x
AMP Ameriprise Financial Inc ▲ $44.24B 12.1x 7.1x
ARES Ares Management Corp ▶ $37.95B 59.6x 10.7x
PS Pershing Square Inc. ▶ $17.79B – 12.6x
TPG Tpg Inc. ▲ $16.35B 47.8x 13.2x
BEN Franklin Templeton Inc ▶ $15.74B 29.0x 1.3x
CG Carlyle Group Inc. ▶ $12.96B 21.7x 2.5x
IVZ Invesco Ltd. ▶ $12.45B – 1.0x
AMG Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. ▼ $9.92B 13.5x 3.1x
EVR Evercore Inc. ▲ $9.77B 14.3x 5.3x
HLI Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ▼ $9.05B 21.8x 4.0x
MORN Morningstar, Inc. ▼ $7.78B 19.7x 7.6x
VCTR Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. ▶ $6.68B 16.9x 2.8x
MAAS Maase Inc. ▶ $5.31B – –
STEP Stepstone Group Inc. ▲ $5.02B – –
HLNE Hamilton Lane Inc ▶ $4.51B 16.4x 4.8x
MC Moelis & Co ▶ $4.27B 18.7x 8.4x
FHI Federated Hermes, Inc. ▶ $4.18B 10.4x 3.3x
LAZ Lazard, Inc. ▲ $4.07B 14.3x 4.6x
CNS Cohen & Steers, Inc. ▲ $3.58B 21.8x 6.1x
PJT Pjt Partners Inc. ▲ $3.51B 17.6x 11.2x
AAMI Acadian Asset Management Inc. ▶ $3.27B 34.3x –
AB Alliancebernstein Holding L.P. ▼ $3.24B 10.4x –
DBRG Digitalbridge Group, Inc. ▼ $3.00B 8.7x 1.3x
APAM Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. ▲ $2.62B 7.7x 6.2x
GCMG Gcm Grosvenor Inc. ▲ $2.55B 25.6x –
LCLN Lincoln International, Inc. ▶ $2.46B – 18.3x
PAX Patria Investments Ltd ▶ $1.86B – –
RPC Ridgepost Capital, Inc. ▶ $907M 41.4x 13.1x
VRTS Virtus Investment Partners, Inc. ▲ $814M 7.0x 0.9x
ABX Abacus Global Management, Inc. ▲ $763M 31.2x 1.8x
NOAH Noah Holdings Ltd ▼ $503M – 13.6x
ALTI Alti Global, Inc. ▲ $402M – 0.7x
HKHC Horizon Kinetics Holding Corp ▼ $382M 8.2x 1.0x
RILY Brc Group Holdings, Inc. ▶ $185M 1.7x 1.3x
WHG Westwood Holdings Group Inc ▼ $166M 22.2x 1.3x
SAMG Silvercrest Asset Management Group Inc. ▼ $126M 28.7x 2.7x
HNNA Hennessy Advisors Inc ▲ $81M 8.1x 0.8x
MLCI Mount Logan Capital Inc. ▼ $37M – 0.6x
IWSH Wright Investors Service Holdings, Inc. ▶ $2M – 2.8x
ILLR Triller Group Inc. ▲ $1M – –
ENDI Endi Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where OWL sits on the market map

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News

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) stock news

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FAQ

Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Blue Owl Capital Inc. (OWL) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, OWL is rated Neutral: its 90-day Total forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5184 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Blue Owl Capital Inc. stock predictions?

For OWL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 23.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Blue Owl Capital Inc. forecasts updated?

Blue Owl Capital Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Blue Owl Capital Inc.'s industry peers?

45 issuers in our coverage, OWL included, share the SEC industry code Investment Advice. The largest are: Blackstone Inc. (BX), Kkr & Co. Inc. (KKR), Apollo Global Management, Inc. (APO), Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP), Ares Management Corp (ARES), Pershing Square Inc. (PS).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.