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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Pepsico Inc (PEP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -5.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $179.47B large-cap · #2 of 23 peers
Summary

Pepsico Inc (PEP) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Pepsico Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Pepsico Inc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $179.47B. It ranks number 2 by market capitalization among the 23 Beverages issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PEP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, PEP included.

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Price

PEP price chart and AI forecast

PEP
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PEP ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-09-05

Pepsico Inc (PEP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Beverages peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $179.47B $253M 2/23
P/E Ratio 16.52x 18.63x 7/11
P/B Ratio 10.47x 2.61x 3/15
Dividend Yield 4.39% 2.94% 1/6
EPS $7.96 – –
Book Value/Share $12.56 – –
Revenue/Share $71.98 – –
FCF/Share $7.67 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Gross Margin 54.2% 43.5% 8/22
Operating Margin 13.4% 1.6% 9/22
EBT Margin 12.3% 9.1% 10/22
Tax Rate 20.1% – –

Financial Health

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 0.94x 1.02x 18/24
Quick Ratio 0.76x 0.73x 11/23
D/E Ratio 4.37x 1.25x 3/20
Interest Coverage 17.6x 0.1x 3/21
Working Capital -$1.97B $1M 22/23

Cash Flow

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $14.57B $10M 4/21
Free Cash Flow $10.47B $309M 3/13
Capital Spending -$4.10B -$88M 13/13
OCF Growth YoY 23.9% 24.0% 6/10
FCF Growth YoY 54.3% 37.3% 2/6
FCF/Sales 10.7% 10.7% 7/13
CapEx/Sales 4.2% 4.2% 7/13

Operational Efficiency

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Inventory Turnover 7.0x 3.6x 4/20
Fixed Assets Turnover 3.3x 3.3x 8/15
Days Inventory 52 days 103 days 17/20
Payables Period 205 days 78 days 4/20

Income Statement

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $98.24B $3.19B 2/16
Operating Income $15.05B $230K 2/21
SG&A Expense $38.16B $156M 1/15
Cost of Goods Sold $45.02B $284M 1/21

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPEPIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $5.77 – –
Payout Ratio 72.5% 78.6% 4/5
Shares Outstanding 1365M – –
EPS Growth 51.3% 5.4% 2/10

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$32.56B35.3% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$10.68B11.6% of assets
Inventory$6.43B7.0% of assets
Total Liabilities$74.91B81.3% of assets
Short-term Debt$9.22B10.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PEP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Beverages

Pepsico Inc (PEP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pepsico Inc (Beverages): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PEP Pepsico Inc ▼ $179.47B 16.5x 10.5x
KO Coca Cola Co ▼ $403.93B 29.5x 12.0x
DEO Diageo Plc ▼ $57.84B 15.8x –
ABEV Ambev S.A. ▼ $51.62B 4.9x –
KDP Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. ▼ $47.11B 29.6x 1.9x
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. ▼ $22.43B 11.7x 2.6x
BF-B Brown Forman Corp ▼ $13.25B 18.6x 3.3x
PRMB Primo Brands Corp ▶ $7.15B 70.4x 2.4x
COCO Vita Coco Company, Inc. ▶ $3.37B 36.0x 8.4x
WEST Westrock Coffee Co ▼ $824M – –
SUJA Suja Life, Inc. ▶ $274M – 2.3x
BRCC Brc Inc. ▼ $253M – –
BUDA Buda Juice, Inc. ▶ $94M – 4.4x
CWGL Crimson Wine Group, Ltd ▲ $87M 211.5x 0.5x
JSDA Jones Soda Co. ▶ $33M – 26.8x
SRXH Srx Global Inc. ▼ $24M – 0.2x
WVVI Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc ▲ $10M – 0.2x
MOJO Equator Beverage Co ▲ $8M 8.0x 4.2x
AMSS Amass Brands ▼ $4M – –
YHC Lqr House Inc. ▼ $2M – 0.1x
IPST Ip Strategy Holdings, Inc. ▼ $2M – –
EDVA Endovia Health Sciences, Inc. ▼ $940K – –
CIRX Cirtran Corp ▶ $130K – –
MALG Microalliance Group Inc. ▶ N/A – –
MDWK Mdwerks, Inc. ▼ N/A – –

Where PEP sits on the market map

Manufacturing · Beverages
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News

Pepsico Inc (PEP) stock news

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FAQ

Pepsico Inc (PEP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Pepsico Inc (PEP) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Pepsico Inc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Pepsico Inc stock predictions?

For PEP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -5.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 16.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Pepsico Inc forecasts updated?

Pepsico Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Pepsico Inc's industry peers?

25 issuers in our coverage, PEP included, share the SEC industry code Beverages. The largest are: Coca Cola Co (KO), Diageo Plc (DEO), Ambev S.A. (ABEV), Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP), Constellation Brands, Inc. (STZ), Brown Forman Corp (BF-B).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.