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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▼ Bearish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Bottom 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 25.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $277.04B mega-cap · #1 of 20 peers
Summary

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Royal Bank Of Canada outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Royal Bank Of Canada is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $277.04B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For RY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, RY included.

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Price

RY price chart and AI forecast

RY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How RY ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-01-31

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).

Valuation & Market

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $277.04B $89.28B 1/20
P/E Ratio 11.06x 11.35x 9/15
EPS $17.88 – –
Revenue/Share $60.18 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
ROE 25.7% 21.7% 5/12
ROA 1.5% 1.6% 9/15
Net Margin 30.7% 27.3% 5/12
EBT Margin 38.8% 33.9% 5/14
Tax Rate 20.9% – –

Financial Health

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 15.75x 14.46x 8/17
Financial Leverage 16.76x 15.47x 8/17

Cash Flow

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $94.90B $2.45B 2/20
OCF Growth YoY 113.2% -59.2% 1/16

Operational Efficiency

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.05x 0.05x 7/13
Fixed Assets Turnover 17.4x 13.7x 3/8

Income Statement

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $84.29B $45.85B 6/13
Net Income $25.85B $11.23B 4/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricRYIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 1401M – –
Net Income Growth 20.7% 19.1% 6/12
EPS Growth 20.6% 22.1% 9/15

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)

Cash & Short-term Investments$33.95B
Total Liabilities$1.62T
Quarterly Financial Reports

RY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Commercial Banks, NEC

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Royal Bank Of Canada (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
RY Royal Bank Of Canada ▼ $277.04B 11.1x –
MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc ▶ $259.67B 25.2x 2.1x
TD Toronto Dominion Bank ▼ $203.40B 7.6x –
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. ▼ $195.37B 4.8x –
SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. ▼ $160.23B 2.8x –
BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. ▼ $146.83B – –
HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd ▼ $121.50B – 281.9x
BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ ▼ $118.44B 11.4x –
CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ ▼ $104.22B 9.8x –
ING Ing Groep Nv ▼ $97.09B 4.2x –
LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc ▼ $81.48B 20.7x –
BCS Barclays Plc ▼ $77.53B 14.5x –
NWG Natwest Group Plc ▼ $70.31B 7.6x –
BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. ▼ $20.90B – –
BSAC Banco Santander Chile ▼ $15.40B 1804.3x –
GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa ▼ $6.02B – –
NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd ▼ $2.34B 12.3x 2.1x
ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. ▶ $1.44B 19.7x 4.6x
PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp ▶ $769M 17.3x 1.1x
VBNK Versabank ▶ $710M – –
AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. ▶ N/A – –
DJP Barclays Bank Plc ▼ N/A – –
WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp ▼ N/A – –

Where RY sits on the market map

Finance · Commercial Banks, NEC
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News

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock news

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FAQ

Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Royal Bank Of Canada outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Royal Bank Of Canada stock predictions?

For RY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Royal Bank Of Canada forecasts updated?

Royal Bank Of Canada forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Royal Bank Of Canada's industry peers?

23 issuers in our coverage, RY included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA), Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.