Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Royal Bank Of Canada outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Royal Bank Of Canada is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $277.04B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 20 Commercial Banks, NEC issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For RY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How RY ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Commercial Banks, NEC peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $277.04B | 1/20 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.06x | 9/15 |
| EPS | $17.88 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $60.18 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 25.7% | 5/12 |
| ROA | 1.5% | 9/15 |
| Net Margin | 30.7% | 5/12 |
| EBT Margin | 38.8% | 5/14 |
| Tax Rate | 20.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| D/E Ratio | 15.75x | 8/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 16.76x | 8/17 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $94.90B | 2/20 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 113.2% | 1/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.05x | 7/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 17.4x | 3/8 |
Income Statement
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $84.29B | 6/13 |
| Net Income | $25.85B | 4/15 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | RY | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 1401M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 20.7% | 6/12 |
| EPS Growth | 20.6% | 9/15 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $33.95B | |
| Total Liabilities | $1.62T |
RY quarterly financials and insider trading
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Royal Bank Of Canada (Commercial Banks, NEC): 23 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| RY Royal Bank Of Canada | ▼ | $277.04B |
| MUFG Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc | ▶ | $259.67B |
| TD Toronto Dominion Bank | ▼ | $203.40B |
| SAN Banco Santander, S.A. | ▼ | $195.37B |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. | ▼ | $160.23B |
| BBVA Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. | ▼ | $146.83B |
| HDB Hdfc Bank Ltd | ▼ | $121.50B |
| BMO Bank Of Montreal /Can/ | ▼ | $118.44B |
| CM Canadian Imperial Bank Of Commerce /Can/ | ▼ | $104.22B |
| ING Ing Groep Nv | ▼ | $97.09B |
| LYG Lloyds Banking Group Plc | ▼ | $81.48B |
| BCS Barclays Plc | ▼ | $77.53B |
| NWG Natwest Group Plc | ▼ | $70.31B |
| BSBR Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. | ▼ | $20.90B |
| BSAC Banco Santander Chile | ▼ | $15.40B |
| GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia Sa | ▼ | $6.02B |
| NTB Bank Of N.T. Butterfield & Son Ltd | ▼ | $2.34B |
| ESQ Esquire Financial Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $1.44B |
| PGC Peapack Gladstone Financial Corp | ▶ | $769M |
| VBNK Versabank | ▶ | $710M |
| AVAL Grupo Aval Acciones Y Valores S.A. | ▶ | N/A |
| DJP Barclays Bank Plc | ▼ | N/A |
| WBKCY Westpac Banking Corp | ▼ | N/A |
Where RY sits on the market map
Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock news
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Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Royal Bank Of Canada (RY) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Royal Bank Of Canada outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Royal Bank Of Canada stock predictions?
For RY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 3.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Royal Bank Of Canada forecasts updated?
Royal Bank Of Canada forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Royal Bank Of Canada's industry peers?
23 issuers in our coverage, RY included, share the SEC industry code Commercial Banks, NEC. The largest are: Mitsubishi Ufj Financial Group Inc (MUFG), Toronto Dominion Bank (TD), Banco Santander, S.A. (SAN), Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc. (SMFG), Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria, S.A. (BBVA), Hdfc Bank Ltd (HDB).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.