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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -31.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $10.46B large-cap · #9 of 26 peers
Summary

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Stifel Financial Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Stifel Financial Corp is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.46B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 26 Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For SF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.0%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

SF price chart and AI forecast

SF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How SF ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $10.46B $5.18B 9/26
P/E Ratio 11.57x 15.11x 14/19
P/B Ratio 1.75x 2.37x 14/21
EPS $5.84 – –
Book Value/Share $38.60 – –
Revenue/Share $43.21 – –
FCF/Share $2.02 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
ROE 16.8% 17.2% 11/18
Net Margin 14.6% 13.3% 5/17
EBT Margin 17.7% 20.3% 12/21
Tax Rate 21.8% – –

Financial Health

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 5.90x 6.41x 13/23
Interest Coverage 4.1x 2.6x 5/12

Cash Flow

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $454M $198M 7/22
Free Cash Flow $313M $195M 5/14
Capital Spending -$141M -$44M 9/14
OCF Growth YoY -64.8% -4.1% 11/15
FCF Growth YoY -74.5% -26.2% 8/11
FCF/Sales 4.7% 9.8% 9/14
CapEx/Sales 2.1% 1.1% 5/14

Operational Efficiency

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
Receivables Turnover 34.7x 33.4x 4/9
Fixed Assets Turnover 29.2x 27.6x 7/16
Days Sales Outstanding 11 days 11 days 6/9

Income Statement

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $6.69B $2.39B 7/21
Net Income $1.00B $307M 5/18

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricSFIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 155M – –
Net Income Growth 64.5% 36.3% 4/16
EPS Growth 83.3% 39.9% 5/17

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$2.19B5.3% of assets
Accounts Receivable$193M0.5% of assets
Total Liabilities$35.29B85.5% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

SF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Stifel Financial Corp (Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies): 27 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
SF Stifel Financial Corp ▲ $10.46B 11.6x 1.8x
MS Morgan Stanley ▶ $283.60B 14.6x 2.4x
GS Goldman Sachs Group Inc ▲ $256.60B 13.6x 2.1x
HOOD Robinhood Markets, Inc. ▲ $88.89B 43.9x –
IBKR Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. ▲ $38.43B 35.9x 35.3x
RJF Raymond James Financial Inc ▶ $30.16B 13.7x 2.4x
NMR Nomura Holdings Inc ▶ $26.81B 6.1x 1.2x
SEIC Sei Investments Co ▼ $12.53B 18.4x 5.0x
FRHC Freedom Holding Corp. ▼ $11.10B 71.8x 7.2x
JEF Jefferies Financial Group Inc. ▲ $10.33B 15.1x 1.0x
VIRT Virtu Financial, Inc. ▼ $8.82B 9.4x 4.7x
GLXY Galaxy Digital Inc. ▲ $6.31B – –
MKTX Marketaxess Holdings Inc ▼ $5.79B 18.6x 4.7x
PIPR Piper Sandler Companies ▲ $4.57B 19.0x 3.3x
WT Wisdomtree, Inc. ▲ $3.27B 25.1x 7.8x
MIAX Miami International Holdings, Inc. ▲ $3.07B 32.2x 2.7x
ETOR Etoro Group Ltd. ▶ $2.04B – –
JSM Navient Corp ▶ $1.55B – 0.7x
OPY Oppenheimer Holdings Inc ▲ $1.08B 11.3x 1.1x
ACGP Associated Capital Group, Inc. ▼ $663M 15.1x 0.9x
MTC Mmtec, Inc. ▲ $531M – 41.0x
CSHR Coinshares Plc ▲ $511M – –
SIEB Siebert Financial Corp ▲ $85M 8.3x 1.0x
COHN Cohen & Co Inc. ▼ $73M 2.4x 1.2x
DOMH Dominari Holdings Inc. ▲ $49M – 2.3x
LGHL Lion Group Holding Ltd ▼ $140K – –
GLDI Credit Suisse Ag ▼ N/A – –

Where SF sits on the market map

Finance · Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies
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News

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) stock news

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FAQ

Stifel Financial Corp (SF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Stifel Financial Corp (SF) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Stifel Financial Corp outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Stifel Financial Corp stock predictions?

For SF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -31.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Stifel Financial Corp forecasts updated?

Stifel Financial Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Stifel Financial Corp's industry peers?

27 issuers in our coverage, SF included, share the SEC industry code Security Brokers, Dealers & Flotation Companies. The largest are: Morgan Stanley (MS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD), Interactive Brokers Group, Inc. (IBKR), Raymond James Financial Inc (RJF), Nomura Holdings Inc (NMR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.