Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, STUB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.24B. It ranks number 7 by market capitalization among the 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of -113.5% is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one.
For STUB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 176 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 219 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How STUB ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.24B | 7/22 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.38x | 10/12 |
| EPS | $-6.27 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $4.25 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $7.23 | – |
| FCF/Share | $2.12 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -113.5% | 10/10 |
| ROA | -33.2% | 13/15 |
| ROIC | -33.7% | 14/15 |
| Gross Margin | 84.9% | 2/7 |
| Operating Margin | -47.0% | 13/17 |
| Net Margin | -66.7% | 10/14 |
| EBT Margin | -53.8% | 13/18 |
| Tax Rate | -23.9% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.04x | 8/20 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.04x | 5/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 2.14x | 5/14 |
| Financial Leverage | 3.42x | 4/13 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.7x | 9/16 |
| Working Capital | $76M | 4/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $813M | 2/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $811M | 2/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | 5/13 |
| FCF/Sales | 29.3% | 1/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 0.1% | 11/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.50x | 8/11 |
| Receivables Turnover | 198.2x | 2/13 |
| Inventory Turnover | 84.3x | – |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 22.6x | 7/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 2 days | 12/13 |
| Days Inventory | 4 days | – |
| Payables Period | 46 days | 6/7 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -40 days | – |
Income Statement
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $2.76B | 4/15 |
| Operating Income | -$1.30B | 21/21 |
| Net Income | -$1.84B | 17/17 |
| SG&A Expense | $6.56B | 2/11 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $419M | 4/9 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | STUB | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 382M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.78B | 32.1% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.69B | 30.5% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $14M | 0.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $5M | 0.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $3.48B | 62.6% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $1.66B | 29.8% of assets |
STUB quarterly financials and insider trading
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.24B |
| DIS Walt Disney Co | ▼ | $190.95B |
| MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | ▶ | $9.54B |
| DKNG Draftkings Inc. | ▲ | $9.31B |
| SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd | ▼ | $5.61B |
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc | ▶ | $5.38B |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | ▲ | $4.29B |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc | ▶ | $1.78B |
| GENI Genius Sports Ltd | ▲ | $1.70B |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $1.47B |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | ▶ | $403M |
| BUKS Butler National Corp | ▲ | $312M |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | ▶ | $292M |
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | ▲ | $220M |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. | ▼ | $149M |
| GRSD Grandstand Ltd | ▶ | $47M |
| SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| PRKA Parks America, Inc | ▼ | $31M |
| TBTC Table Trac Inc | ▼ | $23M |
| EVTK Eventiko Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. | ▶ | $980K |
| VIVC Vivic Corp. | ▼ | $300K |
| GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where STUB sits on the market map
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) stock news
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Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Stubhub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, STUB is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5172 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Stubhub Holdings, Inc. stock predictions?
For STUB, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 54.0%, measured on 176 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 219 forecast dates between 2025-11-14 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Stubhub Holdings, Inc. forecasts updated?
Stubhub Holdings, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Stubhub Holdings, Inc.'s industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, STUB included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Vail Resorts Inc (MTN), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.