Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Travel & Leisure Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Travel & Leisure Co. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.95B. It ranks number 15 by market capitalization among the 26 Hotels & Motels issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TNL ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Hotels & Motels peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.95B | 15/26 |
| P/E Ratio | 17.51x | 8/15 |
| Dividend Yield | 3.77% | 5/14 |
| EPS | $3.69 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $66.87 | – |
| FCF/Share | $7.22 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | 3.4% | 9/19 |
| Gross Margin | 92.8% | 2/6 |
| Operating Margin | 13.7% | 10/20 |
| Net Margin | 5.8% | 10/20 |
| EBT Margin | 8.5% | 10/23 |
| Tax Rate | 31.7% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Interest Coverage | 3.6x | 9/23 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $545M | 11/24 |
| Free Cash Flow | $442M | 8/17 |
| Capital Spending | -$103M | 6/17 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -8.6% | 16/22 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -10.7% | 11/14 |
| FCF/Sales | 10.8% | 6/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 2.5% | 14/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.59x | 6/19 |
| Receivables Turnover | 26.9x | 8/19 |
| Inventory Turnover | 0.2x | 5/5 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 7.8x | 5/18 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 14 days | 12/19 |
| Days Inventory | 1469 days | 1/5 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $4.09B | 10/20 |
| Operating Income | $560M | 9/21 |
| Net Income | $237M | 9/21 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $293M | 4/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TNL | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Dividends Per Share | $2.43 | – |
| Payout Ratio | 65.8% | 4/13 |
| Shares Outstanding | 61M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -40.3% | 13/15 |
| EPS Growth | -44.9% | 13/16 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $282M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $152M | |
| Inventory | $1.18B | |
| Total Liabilities | $7.92B |
TNL quarterly financials and insider trading
Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Travel & Leisure Co. (Hotels & Motels): 26 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TNL Travel & Leisure Co. | ▼ | $3.95B |
| MAR Marriott International Inc /Md/ | ▼ | $101.19B |
| HLT Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $77.67B |
| IHG Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ | ▼ | $27.63B |
| LVS Las Vegas Sands Corp | ▲ | $24.62B |
| H Hyatt Hotels Corp | ▼ | $15.94B |
| HTHT H World Group Ltd | ▲ | $14.28B |
| WYNN Wynn Resorts Ltd | ▲ | $7.78B |
| MGM Mgm Resorts International | ▲ | $7.20B |
| CZR Caesars Entertainment, Inc. | ▼ | $5.87B |
| WH Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.61B |
| RRR Red Rock Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $5.18B |
| BYD Boyd Gaming Corp | ▼ | $5.09B |
| CHH Choice Hotels International Inc /De | ▶ | $4.88B |
| ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Ltd | ▼ | $4.59B |
| PK Park Hotels & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $3.20B |
| SHO Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc. | ▶ | $2.20B |
| MCRI Monarch Casino & Resort Inc | ▶ | $2.08B |
| PENN Penn Entertainment, Inc. | ▲ | $2.00B |
| XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | ▼ | $1.75B |
| MLCO Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd | ▲ | $1.60B |
| BALY Bally's Corp | ▲ | $657M |
| MSC Studio City International Holdings Ltd | ▲ | $206M |
| FLL Full House Resorts Inc | ▲ | $40M |
| CNTY Century Casinos Inc /Co/ | ▲ | $22M |
| HIGR Hi-Great Group Holding Co | ▶ | $840K |
Where TNL sits on the market map
Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) stock news
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Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Travel & Leisure Co. (TNL) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Travel & Leisure Co. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Travel & Leisure Co. stock predictions?
For TNL, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 46.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 22.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Travel & Leisure Co. forecasts updated?
Travel & Leisure Co. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Travel & Leisure Co.'s industry peers?
26 issuers in our coverage, TNL included, share the SEC industry code Hotels & Motels. The largest are: Marriott International Inc /Md/ (MAR), Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT), Intercontinental Hotels Group Plc /New/ (IHG), Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS), Hyatt Hotels Corp (H), H World Group Ltd (HTHT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.