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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D Neutral Alpha
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Middle 30% of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 27.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $563M small-cap · #60 of 60 peers
Summary

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) stock forecast summary

On Oct. 16, 2026, UNTY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $563M. It ranks number 60 by market capitalization among the 60 State Commercial Banks issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For UNTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

UNTY price chart and AI forecast

UNTY
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How UNTY ranks among 5171 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the State Commercial Banks peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $563M $4.05B 60/60
P/E Ratio 9.75x 11.90x 52/59
P/B Ratio 1.51x 1.25x 16/57
Dividend Yield 1.07% 2.68% 48/51
EPS $5.75 – –
Book Value/Share $37.02 – –
Revenue/Share $12.99 – –
FCF/Share $2.78 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
ROE 15.8% 10.5% 5/52
ROA 1.8% 1.2% 5/50
Net Margin 45.0% 31.5% 4/53
EBT Margin 58.0% 40.1% 7/58
Tax Rate 22.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
D/E Ratio 7.59x 7.32x 27/59
Financial Leverage 8.59x 8.32x 25/55

Cash Flow

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $29M $432M 55/59
Free Cash Flow $28M $325M 42/45
Capital Spending -$620K -$18M 1/45
OCF Growth YoY -14.0% 15.9% 47/54
FCF Growth YoY -13.4% 15.0% 36/40
FCF/Sales 21.4% 34.3% 39/44
CapEx/Sales 0.5% 2.0% 44/44

Operational Efficiency

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 0.04x 0.04x 9/53
Fixed Assets Turnover 7.3x 5.6x 21/55

Income Statement

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $130M $1.10B 56/57
Net Income $59M $347M 53/53

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricUNTYIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $0.60 – –
Payout Ratio 10.4% 33.5% 49/51
Shares Outstanding 10M – –
Net Income Growth 16.1% 21.2% 34/52
EPS Growth -2.0% 17.5% 49/57

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Cash & Short-term Investments$250M7.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$2.82B88.3% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

UNTY quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · State Commercial Banks

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (State Commercial Banks): 60 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
UNTY Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ ▶ $563M 9.8x 1.5x
BNS Bank Of Nova Scotia ▼ $113.24B 11.9x –
DB Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft ▼ $61.98B 9.2x –
STT State Street Corp ▶ $46.04B 14.8x 1.6x
FITB Fifth Third Bancorp ▶ $45.66B 14.5x 1.3x
BBD Bank Bradesco ▶ $41.97B – –
MTB M&T Bank Corp ▶ $31.58B 11.6x 1.1x
NTRS Northern Trust Corp ▲ $30.27B 18.5x 2.3x
CFG Citizens Financial Group Inc/Ri ▲ $26.69B 11.8x 1.0x
FCNCA First Citizens Bancshares Inc /De/ ▲ $23.68B 11.2x 1.1x
EWBC East West Bancorp Inc ▼ $17.38B 12.2x 1.9x
ALLY Ally Financial Inc. ▶ $11.46B 15.0x 0.7x
BPOP Popular, Inc. ▼ $10.13B 10.8x 1.6x
SSB Southstate Bank Corp ▼ $9.82B 9.8x 1.1x
WTFC Wintrust Financial Corp ▶ $9.68B 11.5x 1.3x
WAL Western Alliance Bancorporation ▶ $8.11B 8.4x 1.0x
PB Prosperity Bancshares Inc ▶ $8.11B 11.7x 1.0x
COLB Columbia Banking System, Inc. ▶ $8.05B 12.4x 1.1x
CBSH Commerce Bancshares Inc /Mo/ ▼ $7.99B 13.9x 3.2x
UBSI United Bankshares Inc/Wv ▶ $6.35B 13.8x 1.2x
HWC Hancock Whitney Corp ▶ $5.86B 16.2x 1.3x
HOMB Home Bancshares Inc ▶ $5.78B 12.0x 1.3x
GBCI Glacier Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $5.70B 19.1x 1.3x
ASB Associated Banc-Corp ▶ $5.47B 10.5x 1.0x
AUB Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp ▶ $5.44B 12.6x 1.1x
ABCB Ameris Bancorp ▶ $5.35B 14.4x 1.3x
FFIN First Financial Bankshares Inc ▶ $4.37B 16.9x 4.2x
SFBS Servisfirst Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $4.33B 6.7x 2.2x
IBOC International Bancshares Corp ▶ $4.21B 10.2x 1.3x
FBP First Bancorp /Pr/ ▶ $4.18B 12.1x 2.1x
UCB United Community Banks Inc ▶ $4.11B 11.6x 1.1x
CATY Cathay General Bancorp ▶ $4.00B 9.8x 1.3x
TCBI Texas Capital Bancshares Inc/Tx ▶ $3.94B 10.6x 1.1x
CVBF Cvb Financial Corp ▶ $3.85B 15.2x 1.2x
INDB Independent Bank Corp ▶ $3.65B 13.9x 1.0x
RNST Renasant Corp ▶ $3.64B 13.3x 0.9x
FIBK First Interstate Bancsystem Inc ▶ $3.32B 11.2x 1.0x
MCHB Mechanics Bancorp ▶ $3.18B 8.2x 7.9x
SBCF Seacoast Banking Corp Of Florida ▶ $3.14B 20.0x 1.2x
FHB First Hawaiian, Inc. ▶ $3.04B 11.2x 1.1x
BOH Bank Of Hawaii Corp ▶ $2.65B 10.6x 1.4x
FBK Fb Financial Corp ▶ $2.58B 11.2x 1.3x
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.53B 8.8x 1.2x
FBNC First Bancorp /Nc/ ▲ $2.50B 14.7x 1.5x
BUSE First Busey Corp /Nv/ ▶ $2.43B 17.9x 1.0x
SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $2.38B 15.3x 1.9x
BANR Banner Corp ▶ $2.30B 11.2x 3.4x
MBIN Merchants Bancorp ▶ $2.25B 8.3x 0.9x
OFG Ofg Bancorp ▼ $2.20B 10.3x 1.6x
EFSC Enterprise Financial Services Corp ▶ $2.17B 11.9x 1.1x
HTH Hilltop Holdings Inc. ▶ $2.11B 13.6x 1.0x
SRCE 1st Source Corp ▼ $2.06B 12.3x 1.6x
GABC German American Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.86B 15.3x 1.5x
RBCAA Republic Bancorp Inc /Ky/ ▶ $1.82B 14.2x 1.6x
STBA S&T Bancorp Inc ▶ $1.71B 13.2x 1.2x
BY Byline Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.68B 11.9x 1.3x
TCBK Trico Bancshares / ▶ $1.66B 10.5x 1.2x
CNOB Connectone Bancorp, Inc. ▶ $1.65B 10.3x 1.0x
LOB Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. ▲ $1.63B 28.1x 1.2x
QCRH Qcr Holdings Inc ▶ $1.62B 11.7x 1.4x

Where UNTY sits on the market map

Finance · State Commercial Banks
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News

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) stock news

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FAQ

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ (UNTY) stock forecast?

On Oct. 16, 2026, UNTY is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.

How accurate are Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ stock predictions?

For UNTY, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 26.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ forecasts updated?

Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/ forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Unity Bancorp Inc /Nj/'s industry peers?

60 issuers in our coverage, UNTY included, share the SEC industry code State Commercial Banks. The largest are: Bank Of Nova Scotia (BNS), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), State Street Corp (STT), Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB), Bank Bradesco (BBD), M&T Bank Corp (MTB).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.