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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Waldencast Plc (WALD) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Total · absolute moveSwitch to Alpha · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Total
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D -15.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $100M small-cap · #10 of 19 peers
Summary

Waldencast Plc (WALD) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Waldencast Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Waldencast Plc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $100M. It ranks number 10 by market capitalization among the 19 Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its P/B Ratio of 0.22x is the lowest of the 14 peers that report one.

For WALD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected absolute price move over the horizon, market included. This is the number a price target is built from. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +5.1%, buy ≥ +3.4%, sell < +1.8%, strong sell < +0.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, WALD included.

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Price

WALD price chart and AI forecast

WALD
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How WALD ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Total forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Waldencast Plc (WALD) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $100M $100M 10/19
P/B Ratio 0.22x 2.71x 14/14
Book Value/Share $3.91 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
ROE -19.9% 4.8% 10/13
ROA -12.3% -2.6% 11/15
ROIC -17.4% 6.0% 12/13

Financial Health

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.70x 1.70x 9/17
Quick Ratio 0.97x 0.97x 9/17
D/E Ratio 0.53x 1.11x 11/15
Financial Leverage 1.62x 2.11x 11/15
Interest Coverage -10.2x 1.5x 12/13
Working Capital $52M $11M 7/17

Cash Flow

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow -$12M $4M 17/18

Income Statement

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
Operating Income -$117M $0.00M 17/17
Net Income -$92M $0.00M 13/15

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricWALDIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 118M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$127M17.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$30M4.1% of assets
Accounts Receivable$28M3.8% of assets
Inventory$55M7.3% of assets
Total Liabilities$246M33.0% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

WALD quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations

Waldencast Plc (WALD) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Waldencast Plc (Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations): 19 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Total) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
WALD Waldencast Plc ▲ $100M – 0.2x
CL Colgate Palmolive Co ▼ $75.02B 36.5x 317.9x
HLN Haleon Plc ▼ $44.72B 14.5x –
EL Estee Lauder Companies Inc ▶ $37.82B 209.1x 9.9x
KVUE Kenvue Inc. ▼ $36.32B 24.2x 3.4x
ELF E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. ▶ $6.70B 115.9x 5.7x
IPAR Interparfums Inc ▶ $3.71B 22.1x 4.3x
COTY Coty Inc. ▲ $2.82B – 0.9x
EPC Edgewell Personal Care Co ▼ $1.29B – 0.9x
ODD Oddity Tech Ltd ▲ $1.03B – 2.6x
SLSN Solesence, Inc. ▲ $64M – 4.8x
SHFH Scientist Home Future Health Ltd ▼ $40M – –
AXIL Axil Brands, Inc. ▶ $37M 16.1x 2.7x
UG United Guardian Inc ▶ $31M 12.8x 2.7x
KARX Karbon-X Corp. ▼ $18M – –
DQWS Dswiss Inc ▼ $17M – –
CABR Caring Brands, Inc. ▶ $13M – –
BNKK Bonk, Inc. ▶ $10M – 0.4x
YCBD Cbdmd, Inc. ▲ $4M – 0.5x

Where WALD sits on the market map

Industrial Applications and Services · Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
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News

Waldencast Plc (WALD) stock news

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FAQ

Waldencast Plc (WALD) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Waldencast Plc (WALD) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Waldencast Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Waldencast Plc stock predictions?

For WALD, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is -15.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 11.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Waldencast Plc forecasts updated?

Waldencast Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Waldencast Plc's industry peers?

19 issuers in our coverage, WALD included, share the SEC industry code Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations. The largest are: Colgate Palmolive Co (CL), Haleon Plc (HLN), Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL), Kenvue Inc. (KVUE), E.L.F. Beauty, Inc. (ELF), Interparfums Inc (IPAR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.