Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Xponential Fitness, Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $220M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 22 Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For XPOF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How XPOF ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $220M | 14/22 |
| EPS | $-1.56 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $0.22 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.16 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROA | -13.8% | 10/15 |
| ROIC | 8.2% | 9/15 |
| Operating Margin | 168.8% | 1/17 |
| Net Margin | -401.5% | 12/14 |
| EBT Margin | -541.2% | 16/18 |
| Tax Rate | -1.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.75x | 13/20 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.71x | 7/12 |
| Interest Coverage | 0.6x | 10/16 |
| Working Capital | -$24M | 14/20 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$6M | 20/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$8M | 12/13 |
| Capital Spending | -$2M | 6/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -140.2% | 12/12 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -176.2% | 11/11 |
| FCF/Sales | -76.1% | 11/12 |
| CapEx/Sales | 21.9% | 2/12 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.03x | 11/11 |
| Receivables Turnover | 0.6x | 13/13 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.1x | 11/13 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 600 days | 1/13 |
Income Statement
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $11M | 14/15 |
| Operating Income | $18M | 8/21 |
| Net Income | -$43M | 13/17 |
| SG&A Expense | $144M | 8/11 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | XPOF | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 49M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $69M | 22.4% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $25M | 8.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $17M | 5.6% of assets |
| Inventory | $3M | 1.0% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $686M | |
| Short-term Debt | $77M | 24.8% of assets |
XPOF quarterly financials and insider trading
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Xponential Fitness, Inc. (Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation): 24 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
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Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| XPOF Xponential Fitness, Inc. | ▲ | $220M |
| DIS Walt Disney Co | ▼ | $190.95B |
| MSGS Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. | ▶ | $9.54B |
| DKNG Draftkings Inc. | ▲ | $9.31B |
| SGHC Super Group (Sghc) Ltd | ▼ | $5.61B |
| MTN Vail Resorts Inc | ▶ | $5.38B |
| RSI Rush Street Interactive, Inc. | ▲ | $4.29B |
| STUB Stubhub Holdings, Inc. | ▶ | $2.24B |
| BRSL Brightstar Lottery Plc | ▶ | $1.78B |
| GENI Genius Sports Ltd | ▲ | $1.70B |
| PRKS United Parks & Resorts Inc. | ▲ | $1.47B |
| FBYD Falcon's Beyond Global, Inc. | ▶ | $403M |
| BUKS Butler National Corp | ▲ | $312M |
| SEG Seaport Entertainment Group Inc. | ▶ | $292M |
| ENHA Enhanced Group Inc. | ▼ | $149M |
| GRSD Grandstand Ltd | ▶ | $47M |
| SEAT Vivid Seats Inc. | ▲ | $34M |
| PRKA Parks America, Inc | ▼ | $31M |
| TBTC Table Trac Inc | ▼ | $23M |
| EVTK Eventiko Inc. | ▶ | $10M |
| BRVO Bravo Multinational Inc. | ▶ | $980K |
| VIVC Vivic Corp. | ▼ | $300K |
| GAMG Global Asset Management Group, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| LIMX Limitless X Holdings Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where XPOF sits on the market map
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock news
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Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Xponential Fitness, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Xponential Fitness, Inc. stock predictions?
For XPOF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 27.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 29.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Xponential Fitness, Inc. forecasts updated?
Xponential Fitness, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s industry peers?
24 issuers in our coverage, XPOF included, share the SEC industry code Services-Miscellaneous Amusement & Recreation. The largest are: Walt Disney Co (DIS), Madison Square Garden Sports Corp. (MSGS), Draftkings Inc. (DKNG), Super Group (Sghc) Ltd (SGHC), Vail Resorts Inc (MTN), Rush Street Interactive, Inc. (RSI).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.