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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
Alpha
90-day forecast
Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Middle 30%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
38.0%
Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap
$2.70T
mega-cap · #1 of 24 peers
Summary
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, AMZN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Amazon Com Inc is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $2.70T. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 24 Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its Net Margin of 17.4% is the highest of the 15 peers that report one.
For AMZN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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AMZN price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How AMZN ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $2.70T | 1/24 |
| P/E Ratio | 20.11x | 5/6 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.89x | 5/16 |
| EPS | $12.43 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $51.14 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $71.91 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.08 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 24.5% | 2/13 |
| ROA | 12.3% | 2/16 |
| ROIC | 11.0% | 6/18 |
| Gross Margin | 50.8% | 9/20 |
| Operating Margin | 12.1% | 1/22 |
| Net Margin | 17.4% | 1/15 |
| EBT Margin | 17.4% | 1/22 |
| Tax Rate | 29.3% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.03x | 15/22 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.87x | 9/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.99x | 12/19 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.99x | 11/18 |
| Interest Coverage | 23.8x | 5/20 |
| Working Capital | $7.99B | 1/22 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $161.40B | 1/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$11.62B | 16/16 |
| Capital Spending | -$173.03B | 16/16 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 33.2% | 4/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -186.2% | 8/8 |
| FCF/Sales | -1.5% | 13/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 22.3% | 1/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 0.71x | 16/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 8.8x | 15/16 |
| Inventory Turnover | 10.0x | 6/16 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 1.8x | 17/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 41 days | 2/16 |
| Days Inventory | 36 days | 11/16 |
| Payables Period | 141 days | 2/16 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -63 days | 11/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $775.68B | 1/18 |
| Operating Income | $93.71B | 1/23 |
| Net Income | $135.28B | 1/16 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $381.87B | 1/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | AMZN | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 10786M | – |
| Net Income Growth | 91.5% | 2/6 |
| EPS Growth | 64.8% | 1/8 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $249.26B | 22.7% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $78.21B | 7.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $88.09B | 8.0% of assets |
| Inventory | $38.18B | 3.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $544.07B | 49.7% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $93.83B | 8.6% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
AMZN quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Amazon Com Inc (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| AMZN Amazon Com Inc | ▶ | $2.70T |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | ▶ | $25.65B |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | ▶ | $8.43B |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc | ▶ | $4.66B |
| PTRN Pattern Group Inc. | ▲ | $3.12B |
| GCT Gigacloud Technology Inc | ▶ | $2.05B |
| RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. | ▼ | $1.65B |
| LUXE Luxexperience B.V. | ▲ | $1.33B |
| JMIA Jumia Technologies Ag | ▶ | $726M |
| HNST Honest Company, Inc. | ▲ | $536M |
| QVCG Qvc Group, Inc. | ▶ | $488M |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | ▼ | $459M |
| SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. | ▲ | $342M |
| TDUP Thredup Inc. | ▲ | $309M |
| NXH Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. | ▲ | $163M |
| DIBS 1stdibs.Com, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| AKA A.K.A. Brands Holding Corp. | ▼ | $112M |
| HOUR Hour Loop, Inc | ▲ | $61M |
| LITB Lightinthebox Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $54M |
| GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| GIFT Giftify, Inc. | ▼ | $26M |
| CAHO Caro Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| UZX Linkage Global Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| AMZE Amaze Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $300K |
| IPSI Innovative Payment Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where AMZN sits on the market map
Trade & Services · Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses
News
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock news
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FAQ
Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Amazon Com Inc (AMZN) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, AMZN is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Amazon Com Inc stock predictions?
For AMZN, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 38.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 20.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Amazon Com Inc forecasts updated?
Amazon Com Inc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Amazon Com Inc's industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, AMZN included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses. The largest are: Coupang, Inc. (CPNG), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY), Insight Enterprises Inc (NSIT), Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN), Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT), Revolve Group, Inc. (RVLV).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.