Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, JMIA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Jumia Technologies Ag is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $726M. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 24 Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For JMIA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How JMIA ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $726M | 9/24 |
| EPS | $-1.33 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $4.65 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-1.59 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Gross Margin | 57.0% | 5/20 |
| Operating Margin | -38.5% | 20/22 |
| EBT Margin | -49.0% | 20/22 |
| Tax Rate | -1.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.14x | 13/22 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.04x | 7/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 4.10x | 4/19 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.08x | 4/18 |
| Working Capital | $14M | 11/22 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$186M | 23/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$198M | 15/16 |
| Capital Spending | -$11M | 6/16 |
| FCF/Sales | -34.1% | 16/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 1.9% | 5/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 4.34x | 2/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 41.7x | 11/16 |
| Inventory Turnover | 24.7x | 3/16 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 9 days | 6/16 |
| Days Inventory | 15 days | 14/16 |
| Payables Period | 85 days | 4/16 |
| Cash Conversion Cycle | -61 days | 10/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $579M | 12/18 |
| Operating Income | -$223M | 21/23 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $249M | 11/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | JMIA | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 124M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $113M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $77M | |
| Accounts Receivable | $14M | |
| Inventory | $10M | |
| Total Liabilities | $108M | |
| Short-term Debt | $41M |
JMIA quarterly financials and insider trading
Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Jumia Technologies Ag (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| JMIA Jumia Technologies Ag | ▶ | $726M |
| AMZN Amazon Com Inc | ▶ | $2.70T |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | ▶ | $25.65B |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | ▶ | $8.43B |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc | ▶ | $4.66B |
| PTRN Pattern Group Inc. | ▲ | $3.12B |
| GCT Gigacloud Technology Inc | ▶ | $2.05B |
| RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. | ▼ | $1.65B |
| LUXE Luxexperience B.V. | ▲ | $1.33B |
| HNST Honest Company, Inc. | ▲ | $536M |
| QVCG Qvc Group, Inc. | ▶ | $488M |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | ▼ | $459M |
| SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. | ▲ | $342M |
| TDUP Thredup Inc. | ▲ | $309M |
| NXH Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. | ▲ | $149M |
| DIBS 1stdibs.Com, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| AKA A.K.A. Brands Holding Corp. | ▼ | $112M |
| HOUR Hour Loop, Inc | ▲ | $61M |
| LITB Lightinthebox Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $54M |
| GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $43M |
| GIFT Giftify, Inc. | ▼ | $26M |
| CAHO Caro Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| UZX Linkage Global Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| AMZE Amaze Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $300K |
| IPSI Innovative Payment Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where JMIA sits on the market map
Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) stock news
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Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Jumia Technologies Ag (JMIA) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, JMIA is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Jumia Technologies Ag stock predictions?
For JMIA, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 18.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 10.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Jumia Technologies Ag forecasts updated?
Jumia Technologies Ag forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Jumia Technologies Ag's industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, JMIA included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses. The largest are: Amazon Com Inc (AMZN), Coupang, Inc. (CPNG), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY), Insight Enterprises Inc (NSIT), Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN), Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.