Thredup Inc. (TDUP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Thredup Inc. (TDUP) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Thredup Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Thredup Inc. is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $289M. It ranks number 14 by market capitalization among the 24 Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For TDUP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How TDUP ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Thredup Inc. (TDUP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $289M | 14/24 |
| P/B Ratio | 4.75x | 5/16 |
| EPS | $-0.18 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $0.46 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $2.55 | – |
| FCF/Share | $0.01 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | -36.6% | 11/13 |
| ROA | -13.1% | 14/16 |
| ROIC | -21.9% | 14/18 |
| Gross Margin | 79.5% | 2/20 |
| Operating Margin | -7.1% | 16/22 |
| Net Margin | -6.7% | 10/15 |
| EBT Margin | -6.6% | 14/22 |
| Tax Rate | -0.1% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.99x | 17/22 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.80x | 10/19 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.80x | 9/18 |
| Interest Coverage | -3.7x | 11/20 |
| Working Capital | -$420K | 17/22 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $14M | 12/23 |
| Free Cash Flow | $2M | 10/16 |
| Capital Spending | -$12M | 8/16 |
| OCF Growth YoY | 30.3% | 5/10 |
| FCF Growth YoY | -3.8% | 5/8 |
| FCF/Sales | 0.5% | 9/16 |
| CapEx/Sales | 3.6% | 3/16 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.96x | 7/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 127.7x | 4/16 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.1x | 16/17 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 3 days | 13/16 |
| Payables Period | 72 days | 5/16 |
Income Statement
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $334M | 14/18 |
| Operating Income | -$24M | 18/23 |
| Net Income | -$22M | 12/16 |
| SG&A Expense | $61M | 15/17 |
| Cost of Goods Sold | $68M | 18/20 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | TDUP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 131M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $61M | 36.0% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $42M | 24.8% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $3M | 1.5% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $109M | 64.3% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $48M | 28.3% of assets |
TDUP quarterly financials and insider trading
Thredup Inc. (TDUP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Thredup Inc. (Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses): 25 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| TDUP Thredup Inc. | ▲ | $289M |
| AMZN Amazon Com Inc | ▶ | $2.70T |
| CPNG Coupang, Inc. | ▶ | $25.65B |
| CHWY Chewy, Inc. | ▶ | $8.43B |
| NSIT Insight Enterprises Inc | ▶ | $4.71B |
| PTRN Pattern Group Inc. | ▲ | $3.06B |
| GCT Gigacloud Technology Inc | ▶ | $2.05B |
| RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. | ▼ | $1.62B |
| LUXE Luxexperience B.V. | ▲ | $1.33B |
| JMIA Jumia Technologies Ag | ▶ | $726M |
| HNST Honest Company, Inc. | ▲ | $536M |
| QVCG Qvc Group, Inc. | ▶ | $464M |
| DDL Dingdong (Cayman) Ltd | ▼ | $454M |
| SFIX Stitch Fix, Inc. | ▲ | $337M |
| NXH Neighborhood Intelligence, Inc. | ▶ | $149M |
| DIBS 1stdibs.Com, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| AKA A.K.A. Brands Holding Corp. | ▼ | $112M |
| HOUR Hour Loop, Inc | ▲ | $62M |
| LITB Lightinthebox Holding Co., Ltd. | ▲ | $50M |
| GROV Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $42M |
| GIFT Giftify, Inc. | ▼ | $24M |
| CAHO Caro Holdings Inc. | ▼ | $22M |
| UZX Linkage Global Inc | ▼ | $3M |
| AMZE Amaze Holdings, Inc. | ▼ | $270K |
| IPSI Innovative Payment Solutions, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
Where TDUP sits on the market map
Thredup Inc. (TDUP) stock news
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Thredup Inc. (TDUP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Thredup Inc. (TDUP) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Thredup Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Thredup Inc. stock predictions?
For TDUP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 30.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Thredup Inc. forecasts updated?
Thredup Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Thredup Inc.'s industry peers?
25 issuers in our coverage, TDUP included, share the SEC industry code Retail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses. The largest are: Amazon Com Inc (AMZN), Coupang, Inc. (CPNG), Chewy, Inc. (CHWY), Insight Enterprises Inc (NSIT), Pattern Group Inc. (PTRN), Gigacloud Technology Inc (GCT).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.