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Model output · Signal date 2026-11-06

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) Stock Forecast Nov. 6, 2026

Analysis updated on Nov. 6, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D Unlock rating and forecasts
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage of 5150 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 17.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $202.76B mega-cap · #1 of 41 peers
Summary

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast summary

Our AI scores Bhp Group Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

Bhp Group Ltd is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $202.76B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 41 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For BHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +3.1%, buy ≥ +1.5%, sell < -0.5%, strong sell < -1.8% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-11-06 signals)

A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BHP included.

Price

BHP price chart and AI forecast

BHP
Cross-section · 2026-11-06

How BHP ranks among 5150 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-06-30

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $202.76B $478M 1/41
P/E Ratio 11.17x 9.37x 5/12
EPS $7.15 – –
Revenue/Share $73.46 – –
FCF/Share $14.58 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
ROIC 76.0% 1.8% 1/23
Operating Margin 38.0% 24.8% 3/13
EBT Margin 35.4% 13.9% 3/15
Tax Rate 36.0% – –

Financial Health

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.46x 1.87x 25/43
Quick Ratio 1.11x 0.97x 7/17
D/E Ratio 1.19x 0.69x 8/36
Financial Leverage 2.28x 1.79x 10/38
Working Capital $7.19B $10M 3/42

Cash Flow

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $64.83B -$1M 1/37
Free Cash Flow $37.01B -$60M 1/14
Capital Spending -$27.82B -$311M 14/14
OCF Growth YoY -21.5% -3.5% 5/6
FCF Growth YoY 0.0% – –
FCF/Sales 19.9% -2.4% 2/9
CapEx/Sales 14.9% 19.0% 6/9

Operational Efficiency

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 1.71x 0.67x 2/15
Receivables Turnover 45.3x 19.5x 2/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 2.4x 1.6x 3/14
Days Sales Outstanding 8 days 19 days 10/11

Income Statement

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $186.45B $7.38B 1/15
Operating Income $70.77B -$1M 1/29

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricBHPIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 2538M – –
EPS Growth -34.1% 1.2% 7/9

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$22.83B
Cash & Short-term Investments$11.89B
Accounts Receivable$4.12B
Inventory$5.54B
Total Liabilities$56.57B
Short-term Debt$9.00B
Quarterly Financial Reports

BHP quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Metal Mining

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bhp Group Ltd (Metal Mining): 48 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
BHP Bhp Group Ltd $202.76B 11.2x –
SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ $141.23B 22.1x 10.5x
RIO Rio Tinto Plc $136.25B 4.3x –
FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc $85.33B 23.3x 4.1x
VALE Vale S.A. $48.88B – 0.6x
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. $9.29B 9.8x –
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. $6.54B – 1.2x
MP Mp Materials Corp. / De $6.31B – 3.2x
USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. $3.09B – 1.2x
ERO Ero Copper Corp. $3.01B 7.3x –
ALM Almonty Industries Inc. $2.34B – –
NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. $1.51B – –
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. $1.21B 8.9x 2.4x
USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp $990M – –
TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. $913M 2.7x –
CRML Critical Metals Corp. $864M – –
DC Dakota Gold Corp. $798M – 4.3x
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd $718M 16.6x –
LAC Lithium Argentina Ag $708M – –
SGML Sigma Lithium Corp $596M – –
GSM Ferroglobe Plc $478M – –
NB Niocorp Developments Ltd $423M – 1.0x
ALOY Realloys Inc. $422M – 2.2x
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd $403M – 2.4x
WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp $348M 19.5x –
LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd $334M – –
REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. $161M – 1.9x
COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. $125M – 26.8x
PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. $84M – 2.5x
THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc $62M – –
AEC Anfield Energy Inc. $53M – –
WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. $49M – 0.3x
NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. $43M 1.2x –
SRGZ Star Gold Corp. $37M – 14.5x
COPR Idaho Copper Corp $23M – 2.1x
DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. $13M 3.2x 3.0x
LTUM Lithium Corp $6M – –
MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp $3M – –
SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. $2M – –
LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. $2M – –
ENRT Enertopia Corp. $330K – 5.6x
ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. N/A – –
ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group N/A – –
AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. N/A – –
BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. N/A – –
GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd N/A – –
HNOI Hno International, Inc. N/A – –
RYES Rise Gold Corp. N/A – –

Where BHP sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Metal Mining
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News

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock news

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FAQ

Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast?

Our AI scores Bhp Group Ltd every trading day against every stock it covers. Create a free account and follow it to see its rating and price target.

How accurate are Bhp Group Ltd stock predictions?

For BHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-08-07 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-08-19 and 2026-10-07. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4629 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-08-04 produced a positive net return in 92.9% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Bhp Group Ltd forecasts updated?

Bhp Group Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Nov. 6, 2026.

Which companies are Bhp Group Ltd's industry peers?

48 issuers in our coverage, BHP included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM), Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.