USAR - USA Rare Earth, Inc.
USA Rare Earth, Inc. is currently listed on NASDAQ under USAR. One share of USAR stock can currently be purchased for approximately $11.02. Is USA Rare Earth, Inc. listed on the NASDAQ or NYSE? USA ...
Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Rating · 90D
▼ Bearish
Exact rating locked
90-day forecast
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30-day forecast
Alpha
Rank in coverage
Bottom 35%
of 5171 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D
25.0%
Spearman, 211 dates
Market Cap
$3.95B
mid-cap · #9 of 46 peers
Summary
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Usa Rare Earth, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. is a mid-cap company with a market capitalization of $3.95B. It ranks number 9 by market capitalization among the 46 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For USAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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USAR price chart and AI forecast
Cross-section · 2026-10-16
How USAR ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Fundamentals · 2026-06-30
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $3.95B | 9/46 |
| P/B Ratio | 1.56x | 17/21 |
| EPS | $-1.82 | – |
| Book Value/Share | $6.77 | – |
| FCF/Share | $-0.66 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | -4.2% | 17/28 |
Financial Health
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 32.79x | 2/48 |
| Quick Ratio | 31.80x | 1/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 0.18x | 26/38 |
| Financial Leverage | 1.18x | 29/40 |
| Interest Coverage | -1047.9x | 25/27 |
| Working Capital | $1.62B | 6/47 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | -$106M | 40/42 |
| Free Cash Flow | -$246M | 11/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$139M | 7/14 |
Income Statement
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Income | -$125M | 30/34 |
| R&D Expense | $37M | 2/6 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | USAR | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 375M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $1.67B | 55.8% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $1.53B | 51.0% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $6M | 0.2% of assets |
| Inventory | $50M | 1.7% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $452M | 15.1% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $34M | 1.1% of assets |
Quarterly Financial Reports
USAR quarterly financials and insider trading
Industry Peers · Metal Mining
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (Metal Mining): 53 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | ▼ | $3.95B |
| BHP Bhp Group Ltd | ▼ | $211.39B |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ | ▼ | $167.29B |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | ▼ | $146.97B |
| FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc | ▼ | $99.86B |
| VALE Vale S.A. | ▼ | $55.58B |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | ▶ | $10.47B |
| MP Mp Materials Corp. / De | ▼ | $7.15B |
| CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | ▲ | $6.91B |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | ▲ | $3.56B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | ▶ | $2.84B |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | ▶ | $1.66B |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | ▶ | $1.38B |
| USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp | ▶ | $1.24B |
| TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. | ▲ | $1.18B |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | ▶ | $1.02B |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corp | ▶ | $950M |
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | ▼ | $886M |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd | ▲ | $823M |
| LAC Lithium Argentina Ag | ▶ | $793M |
| GSM Ferroglobe Plc | ▲ | $753M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | ▲ | $739M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd | ▲ | $568M |
| ALOY Realloys Inc. | ▼ | $499M |
| NB Niocorp Developments Ltd | ▼ | $456M |
| WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $413M |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd | ▶ | $278M |
| REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. | ▶ | $133M |
| LCGMD Lion Copper Corp. | ▼ | $105M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | ▲ | $91M |
| THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc | ▲ | $77M |
| LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. | ▶ | $62M |
| AEC Anfield Energy Inc. | ▼ | $56M |
| NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. | ▶ | $52M |
| WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $52M |
| COPR Idaho Copper Corp | ▼ | $47M |
| SRGZ Star Gold Corp. | ▲ | $32M |
| DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. | ▶ | $20M |
| LTUM Lithium Corp | ▲ | $6M |
| LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. | ▼ | $4M |
| SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $3M |
| MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $2M |
| ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| ENRT Enertopia Corp. | ▼ | $430K |
| ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group | ▲ | N/A |
| AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
| HNOI Hno International, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYES Rise Gold Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where USAR sits on the market map
Energy & Transportation · Metal Mining
News
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) stock news
Rare Earths Stock Extends Slide, Eyes 52-Week Low
USA Rare Earths (USAR) is struggling today, earlier hitting a 52-week low and heading for a sixth-straight loss ...
USA Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
Good afternoon, and welcome to the USA Rare Earth Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over ...
FAQ
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Usa Rare Earth, Inc. (USAR) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Usa Rare Earth, Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Usa Rare Earth, Inc. stock predictions?
For USAR, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 25.0%, measured on 211 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -7.0%, measured on 254 forecast dates between 2025-05-16 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Usa Rare Earth, Inc. forecasts updated?
Usa Rare Earth, Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Usa Rare Earth, Inc.'s industry peers?
53 issuers in our coverage, USAR included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.