Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq
Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) stock forecast summary
On Oct. 16, 2026, SGML is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
Sigma Lithium Corp is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $979M. It ranks number 17 by market capitalization among the 46 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For SGML, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 217 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 260 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.7%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How SGML ranks among 5171 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric. Statement values were filed in CAD and are shown converted to USD (flows at the trailing twelve-month average rate, balances at the balance-sheet date rate).
Valuation & Market
| Metric | SGML | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $979M | 17/46 |
Financial Health
| Metric | SGML | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 0.25x | 39/48 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.14x | 16/17 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.19x | 5/40 |
| Working Capital | -$110M | 46/47 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | SGML | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 111M | – |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions, converted from CAD)
| Total Current Assets | $36M | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $5M | |
| Inventory | $15M |
SGML quarterly financials and insider trading
Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Sigma Lithium Corp (Metal Mining): 53 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corp | ▶ | $979M |
| BHP Bhp Group Ltd | ▼ | $211.39B |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ | ▼ | $168.28B |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | ▼ | $146.79B |
| FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc | ▼ | $99.86B |
| VALE Vale S.A. | ▼ | $55.58B |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | ▶ | $10.72B |
| MP Mp Materials Corp. / De | ▼ | $7.41B |
| CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | ▲ | $6.91B |
| USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | ▼ | $4.16B |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | ▲ | $3.56B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | ▶ | $2.84B |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | ▼ | $1.65B |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | ▶ | $1.39B |
| USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp | ▶ | $1.24B |
| TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. | ▲ | $1.18B |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | ▶ | $1.02B |
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | ▼ | $886M |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd | ▲ | $823M |
| LAC Lithium Argentina Ag | ▶ | $813M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | ▲ | $739M |
| GSM Ferroglobe Plc | ▲ | $736M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd | ▲ | $573M |
| ALOY Realloys Inc. | ▶ | $499M |
| NB Niocorp Developments Ltd | ▼ | $475M |
| WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $413M |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd | ▶ | $278M |
| REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. | ▶ | $133M |
| LCGMD Lion Copper Corp. | ▼ | $105M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | ▲ | $91M |
| THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc | ▲ | $77M |
| LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. | ▶ | $62M |
| AEC Anfield Energy Inc. | ▼ | $56M |
| WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $54M |
| NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. | ▶ | $52M |
| COPR Idaho Copper Corp | ▼ | $47M |
| SRGZ Star Gold Corp. | ▲ | $32M |
| DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. | ▶ | $20M |
| LTUM Lithium Corp | ▲ | $6M |
| LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. | ▼ | $4M |
| SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $3M |
| MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $2M |
| ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| ENRT Enertopia Corp. | ▼ | $430K |
| ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group | ▲ | N/A |
| AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
| HNOI Hno International, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYES Rise Gold Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where SGML sits on the market map
Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) stock news
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Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Sigma Lithium Corp (SGML) stock forecast?
On Oct. 16, 2026, SGML is rated Neutral: its 90-day Alpha forecast sits in the middle 30% of the 5171 stocks scored that day.
How accurate are Sigma Lithium Corp stock predictions?
For SGML, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 42.0%, measured on 217 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 23.0%, measured on 260 forecast dates between 2025-04-04 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Sigma Lithium Corp forecasts updated?
Sigma Lithium Corp forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Sigma Lithium Corp's industry peers?
53 issuers in our coverage, SGML included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.