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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · Nasdaq

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 56.0% Spearman, 82 dates
Market Cap $753M small-cap · #21 of 46 peers
Summary

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Ferroglobe Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Ferroglobe Plc is a small-cap company with a market capitalization of $753M. It ranks number 21 by market capitalization among the 46 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For GSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 82 forecast dates between 2026-03-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 125 forecast dates between 2026-03-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

GSM price chart and AI forecast

GSM
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How GSM ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2025-12-31

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricGSMIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $753M $533M 21/46

Financial Health

MetricGSMIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.66x 1.56x 24/48
Quick Ratio 0.97x 0.97x 9/17
Financial Leverage 2.38x 1.83x 8/40
Working Capital $292M $7M 9/47

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricGSMIndustry medianRank
Shares Outstanding 187M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$734M
Cash & Short-term Investments$123M
Inventory$306M
Short-term Debt$296M
Quarterly Financial Reports

GSM quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Metal Mining

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Ferroglobe Plc (Metal Mining): 53 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
GSM Ferroglobe Plc ▲ $753M – –
BHP Bhp Group Ltd ▼ $211.39B 11.7x –
SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ ▼ $167.29B 29.6x 13.2x
RIO Rio Tinto Plc ▼ $146.97B 4.6x –
FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc ▼ $99.86B 41.6x 5.0x
VALE Vale S.A. ▼ $55.75B – 0.7x
HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. ▶ $10.47B 11.1x –
MP Mp Materials Corp. / De ▼ $7.15B – 3.7x
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. ▲ $6.91B – 1.2x
USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. ▼ $3.95B – 1.6x
ERO Ero Copper Corp. ▲ $3.56B 8.7x –
ALM Almonty Industries Inc. ▶ $2.84B – –
NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. ▶ $1.66B – –
IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. ▶ $1.38B 11.2x 2.6x
USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp ▲ $1.21B – –
TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. ▲ $1.14B 3.4x –
CRML Critical Metals Corp. ▶ $1.02B – –
SGML Sigma Lithium Corp ▶ $950M – –
RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. ▼ $886M – –
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd ▲ $823M 19.0x –
LAC Lithium Argentina Ag ▶ $793M – –
DC Dakota Gold Corp. ▲ $739M – 4.0x
THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd ▲ $568M – 3.4x
ALOY Realloys Inc. ▼ $499M – 2.6x
NB Niocorp Developments Ltd ▼ $456M – 1.1x
WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp ▲ $410M 23.1x –
LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd ▶ $278M – –
REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. ▲ $144M – 1.7x
COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. ▶ $133M – 28.5x
LCGMD Lion Copper Corp. ▼ $105M – 5.1x
PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. ▲ $91M – 2.7x
THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc ▲ $77M – –
LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. ▶ $62M – 3.0x
AEC Anfield Energy Inc. ▼ $56M – –
NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. ▶ $52M 1.5x –
WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. ▲ $52M – 0.3x
COPR Idaho Copper Corp ▼ $49M – 4.3x
SRGZ Star Gold Corp. ▲ $32M – 12.5x
DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. ▶ $19M 4.9x 4.5x
LTUM Lithium Corp ▲ $6M – –
LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. ▼ $4M – –
SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. ▶ $3M – –
MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp ▲ $2M – –
ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. ▶ $1M – –
FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. ▶ $1M – –
ENRT Enertopia Corp. ▼ $430K – 7.4x
ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group ▲ N/A – –
AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. ▲ N/A – –
BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. ▼ N/A – –
GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd ▼ N/A – –
HNOI Hno International, Inc. ▼ N/A – –
RYES Rise Gold Corp. ▼ N/A – –

Where GSM sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Metal Mining
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News

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) stock news

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FAQ

Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Ferroglobe Plc (GSM) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Ferroglobe Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Ferroglobe Plc stock predictions?

For GSM, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 56.0%, measured on 82 forecast dates between 2026-03-26 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is -14.0%, measured on 125 forecast dates between 2026-03-26 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Ferroglobe Plc forecasts updated?

Ferroglobe Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Ferroglobe Plc's industry peers?

53 issuers in our coverage, GSM included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Bhp Group Ltd (BHP), Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.