Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Bhp Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Bhp Group Ltd is a mega-cap company with a market capitalization of $211.39B. It ranks number 1 by market capitalization among the 46 Metal Mining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.
For BHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
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How BHP ranks among 5172 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Metal Mining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $211.39B | 1/46 |
| P/E Ratio | 11.65x | 5/12 |
| EPS | $7.15 | – |
| Revenue/Share | $73.46 | – |
| FCF/Share | $14.58 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROIC | 76.0% | 1/28 |
| Operating Margin | 38.0% | 3/14 |
| EBT Margin | 35.4% | 3/16 |
| Tax Rate | 36.0% | – |
Financial Health
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.46x | 25/48 |
| Quick Ratio | 1.11x | 7/17 |
| D/E Ratio | 1.19x | 8/38 |
| Financial Leverage | 2.28x | 10/40 |
| Working Capital | $7.19B | 3/47 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $64.83B | 1/42 |
| Free Cash Flow | $37.01B | 1/14 |
| Capital Spending | -$27.82B | 14/14 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -21.5% | 5/6 |
| FCF Growth YoY | 0.0% | – |
| FCF/Sales | 19.9% | 2/9 |
| CapEx/Sales | 14.9% | 6/9 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.71x | 2/16 |
| Receivables Turnover | 45.3x | 2/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 2.4x | 3/14 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 8 days | 10/12 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $186.45B | 1/16 |
| Operating Income | $70.77B | 1/34 |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BHP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2538M | – |
| EPS Growth | -34.1% | 7/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $22.83B | |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $11.89B | |
| Accounts Receivable | $4.12B | |
| Inventory | $5.54B | |
| Total Liabilities | $56.57B | |
| Short-term Debt | $9.00B |
BHP quarterly financials and insider trading
Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bhp Group Ltd (Metal Mining): 53 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BHP Bhp Group Ltd | ▼ | $211.39B |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corp/ | ▼ | $167.29B |
| RIO Rio Tinto Plc | ▼ | $146.97B |
| FCX Freeport-Mcmoran Inc | ▼ | $99.86B |
| VALE Vale S.A. | ▼ | $55.75B |
| HBM Hudbay Minerals Inc. | ▶ | $10.47B |
| MP Mp Materials Corp. / De | ▼ | $7.15B |
| CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | ▲ | $6.91B |
| USAR Usa Rare Earth, Inc. | ▼ | $3.95B |
| ERO Ero Copper Corp. | ▲ | $3.56B |
| ALM Almonty Industries Inc. | ▶ | $2.84B |
| NEXA Nexa Resources S.A. | ▶ | $1.66B |
| IE Ivanhoe Electric Inc. | ▶ | $1.38B |
| USAS Americas Gold & Silver Corp | ▲ | $1.21B |
| TMC Tmc The Metals Co Inc. | ▲ | $1.14B |
| CRML Critical Metals Corp. | ▶ | $1.02B |
| SGML Sigma Lithium Corp | ▶ | $950M |
| RBTK Zhen Ding Resources Inc. | ▼ | $886M |
| ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd | ▲ | $823M |
| LAC Lithium Argentina Ag | ▶ | $793M |
| GSM Ferroglobe Plc | ▲ | $753M |
| DC Dakota Gold Corp. | ▲ | $739M |
| THM International Tower Hill Mines Ltd | ▲ | $568M |
| ALOY Realloys Inc. | ▼ | $499M |
| NB Niocorp Developments Ltd | ▼ | $456M |
| WRN Western Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $410M |
| LZM Lifezone Metals Ltd | ▶ | $256M |
| REA Rare Earths Americas, Inc. | ▲ | $144M |
| COBA Chilean Cobalt Corp. | ▶ | $133M |
| LCGMD Lion Copper Corp. | ▼ | $105M |
| PZG Paramount Gold Nevada Corp. | ▲ | $91M |
| THMG Thunder Mountain Gold Inc | ▲ | $71M |
| LCGMF Lion Copper Corp. | ▶ | $62M |
| AEC Anfield Energy Inc. | ▼ | $56M |
| WWR Westwater Resources, Inc. | ▲ | $52M |
| NEXM Nexmetals Mining Corp. | ▶ | $50M |
| COPR Idaho Copper Corp | ▼ | $49M |
| SRGZ Star Gold Corp. | ▲ | $32M |
| DYNR Dynaresource, Inc. | ▶ | $19M |
| LTUM Lithium Corp | ▲ | $6M |
| SVBL Silver Bull Resources, Inc. | ▶ | $3M |
| LBSR Liberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp. | ▼ | $3M |
| MAGE Magellan Copper & Gold Corp | ▲ | $2M |
| ARRT Artisan Consumer Goods, Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| FUST Fuse Group Holding Inc. | ▶ | $1M |
| ENRT Enertopia Corp. | ▼ | $430K |
| ACRL Atacama Resources International, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| ADMG Adamant Dri Processing & Minerals Group | ▲ | N/A |
| AMLM American Lithium Minerals, Inc. | ▲ | N/A |
| BHLL Bunker Hill Mining Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
| GSTX Graphene & Solar Technologies Ltd | ▼ | N/A |
| HNOI Hno International, Inc. | ▼ | N/A |
| RYES Rise Gold Corp. | ▼ | N/A |
Where BHP sits on the market map
Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock news
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Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Bhp Group Ltd (BHP) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Bhp Group Ltd outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Bhp Group Ltd stock predictions?
For BHP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 17.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 5.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Bhp Group Ltd forecasts updated?
Bhp Group Ltd forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Bhp Group Ltd's industry peers?
53 issuers in our coverage, BHP included, share the SEC industry code Metal Mining. The largest are: Southern Copper Corp/ (SCCO), Rio Tinto Plc (RIO), Freeport-Mcmoran Inc (FCX), Vale S.A. (VALE), Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM), Mp Materials Corp. / De (MP).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.