Bp Plc (BP) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026
Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE
Bp Plc (BP) stock forecast summary
Our AI ranks Bp Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
Bp Plc is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $129.61B. It ranks number 4 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast. Its ROE of 4.9% is the lowest of the 10 peers that report one. Its Net Margin of 0.5% is the lowest of the 11 peers that report one.
For BP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)
A free account shows the exact forecast, rating and rank of 3 tickers you follow, BP included.
Follow BP freeBP price chart and AI forecast
How BP ranks among 5184 stocks
90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).
Bp Plc (BP) fundamentals
Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.
Valuation & Market
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Market Cap | $129.61B | 4/15 |
| Revenue/Share | $205.70 | – |
Profitability & Margins
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| ROE | 4.9% | 10/10 |
| ROA | 0.9% | 9/9 |
| ROIC | 17.6% | 2/5 |
| Operating Margin | 6.6% | 4/8 |
| Net Margin | 0.5% | 11/11 |
| EBT Margin | 4.1% | 9/11 |
| Tax Rate | 74.7% | – |
The effective tax rate is outside the normal band, which points to a large non-recurring tax item in the trailing twelve months; headline net income, net margin and P/E are affected by it.
Financial Health
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Current Ratio | 1.26x | 9/13 |
| Quick Ratio | 0.98x | 4/12 |
| D/E Ratio | 3.86x | 4/13 |
| Financial Leverage | 5.25x | 3/10 |
| Working Capital | $21.20B | 1/13 |
Cash Flow
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Operating Cash Flow | $69.00B | 2/13 |
| OCF Growth YoY | -23.4% | 10/10 |
Operational Efficiency
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Asset Turnover | 1.91x | 4/10 |
| Receivables Turnover | 20.4x | 3/11 |
| Fixed Assets Turnover | 5.4x | 2/12 |
| Days Sales Outstanding | 18 days | 9/11 |
Income Statement
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Total Revenue | $530.99B | 1/13 |
| Operating Income | $34.82B | 2/8 |
| Net Income | $2.62B | 8/11 |
| R&D Expense | $1.15B | – |
Dividend & Shareholder Information
| Metric | BP | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Shares Outstanding | 2581M | – |
| Net Income Growth | -89.0% | 9/9 |
Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)
| Total Current Assets | $101.79B | 36.5% of assets |
| Cash & Short-term Investments | $36.56B | 13.1% of assets |
| Accounts Receivable | $26.01B | 9.3% of assets |
| Inventory | $22.50B | 8.1% of assets |
| Total Liabilities | $204.53B | 73.4% of assets |
| Short-term Debt | $23.74B | 8.5% of assets |
BP quarterly financials and insider trading
Bp Plc (BP) industry peers
Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Bp Plc (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.
Reveal all forecasts · See exact % predictions for all competitors
Sign up free| Company | 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|
| BP Bp Plc | ▼ | $129.61B |
| CVX Chevron Corp | ▼ | $444.53B |
| COP Conocophillips | ▼ | $176.01B |
| MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp | ▲ | $134.25B |
| VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx | ▶ | $128.04B |
| EQNR Equinor Asa | ▼ | $117.46B |
| PSX Phillips 66 | ▶ | $116.98B |
| IMO Imperial Oil Ltd | ▼ | $64.76B |
| YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima | ▶ | $20.49B |
| SUN Sunoco Lp | ▲ | $10.03B |
| PBF Pbf Energy Inc. | ▲ | $10.02B |
| CVI Cvr Energy Inc | ▲ | $6.17B |
| IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. | ▶ | $4.73B |
| DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. | ▲ | $4.69B |
| SUNC Sunococorp Llc | ▲ | $3.73B |
Where BP sits on the market map
Bp Plc (BP) stock news
Loading...
Bp Plc (BP) stock forecast FAQ
What is the Bp Plc (BP) stock forecast?
Our AI ranks Bp Plc outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.
How accurate are Bp Plc stock predictions?
For BP, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 6.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 12.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report
How often are Bp Plc forecasts updated?
Bp Plc forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.
Which companies are Bp Plc's industry peers?
15 issuers in our coverage, BP included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR), Phillips 66 (PSX).
This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.