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Model output · Signal date 2026-10-16

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) Stock Forecast Oct. 16, 2026

Analysis updated on Oct. 16, 2026 (UTC) · Alpha · vs marketSwitch to Total · NYSE

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Rating · 90D ▲ Bullish Exact rating locked
90-day forecast Sign up free to reveal
30-day forecast Alpha
Rank in coverage Top 35% of 5172 stocks scored
Rank correlation · 90D 35.0% Spearman, 357 dates
Market Cap $10.02B large-cap · #11 of 15 peers
Summary

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast summary

Our AI ranks Pbf Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

Pbf Energy Inc. is a large-cap company with a market capitalization of $10.02B. It ranks number 11 by market capitalization among the 15 Petroleum Refining issuers in our coverage with a current forecast.

For PBF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

Expected return relative to the market over the horizon: a positive alpha means the model expects the stock to beat the market, whatever the market does. Ratings: strong buy ≥ +1.8%, buy ≥ +0.2%, sell < -0.9%, strong sell < -1.2% (top 15%, next 20%, middle 30%, next 20%, bottom 15% of the 2026-10-16 signals)

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Price

PBF price chart and AI forecast

PBF
Cross-section · 2026-10-16

How PBF ranks among 5172 stocks

90D Alpha forecasts of every company scored, cut into five relative ratings at the 15th, 35th, 65th and 85th percentiles (dashed lines).

Fundamentals · 2026-06-30

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) fundamentals

Trailing twelve months. The industry median and the rank (1 = highest) are taken over the Petroleum Refining peers listed below that report each metric.

Valuation & Market

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Market Cap $10.02B $64.76B 11/15
P/E Ratio 7.43x 18.51x 10/11
P/B Ratio 1.56x 3.73x 9/10
Dividend Yield 1.26% 1.50% 6/8
EPS $11.38 – –
Book Value/Share $54.05 – –
Revenue/Share $289.98 – –
FCF/Share $6.27 – –

Profitability & Margins

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
ROE 21.1% 18.0% 4/10
ROA 9.2% 7.5% 2/9
ROIC 19.2% 14.1% 1/5
Gross Margin 3.9% 6.1% 7/11
Operating Margin 5.8% 6.5% 6/8
Net Margin 3.9% 4.0% 7/11
EBT Margin 5.3% 7.8% 7/11
Tax Rate 24.6% – –

Financial Health

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Current Ratio 1.33x 1.29x 5/13
Quick Ratio 0.67x 0.91x 11/12
D/E Ratio 1.28x 1.70x 10/13
Financial Leverage 2.30x 2.66x 7/10
Interest Coverage 30.3x 4.8x 2/8
Working Capital $1.45B $2.69B 10/13

Cash Flow

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Operating Cash Flow $1.66B $8.93B 11/13
Free Cash Flow $743M $2.19B 5/8
Capital Spending -$915M -$1.86B 3/8
FCF/Sales 2.2% 8.1% 7/8
CapEx/Sales 2.7% 5.2% 7/8

Operational Efficiency

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Asset Turnover 2.34x 1.39x 2/10
Inventory Turnover 11.4x 13.5x 9/11
Fixed Assets Turnover 6.0x 3.0x 1/12
Days Inventory 32 days 27 days 3/11
Payables Period 9 days 41 days 9/9

Income Statement

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Total Revenue $34.37B $63.34B 10/13
Operating Income $1.99B $6.00B 5/8
Net Income $1.35B $4.98B 9/11
Cost of Goods Sold $33.05B $34.86B 7/11

Dividend & Shareholder Information

MetricPBFIndustry medianRank
Dividends Per Share $1.07 – –
Payout Ratio 9.4% 28.9% 8/8
Shares Outstanding 119M – –

Balance Sheet Highlights (USD millions)

Total Current Assets$5.83B40.0% of assets
Cash & Short-term Investments$894M6.1% of assets
Inventory$2.89B19.8% of assets
Total Liabilities$8.17B56.0% of assets
Short-term Debt$3.60B24.6% of assets
Quarterly Financial Reports

PBF quarterly financials and insider trading

Industry Peers · Petroleum Refining

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) industry peers

Companies classified under the same SEC industry code as Pbf Energy Inc. (Petroleum Refining): 15 common-stock issuers with a forecast this week, one row per issuer, largest first. This is a classification match, not a curated list of competitors.

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Company 90-Day AI Forecast (Alpha) Market Cap P/E Ratio P/B Ratio
PBF Pbf Energy Inc. ▲ $10.02B 7.4x 1.6x
CVX Chevron Corp ▼ $444.53B 21.6x 2.3x
COP Conocophillips ▼ $176.01B 19.4x 2.7x
MPC Marathon Petroleum Corp ▲ $134.25B 16.7x 5.5x
BP Bp Plc ▼ $129.61B – –
VLO Valero Energy Corp/Tx ▶ $128.04B 18.5x 4.9x
EQNR Equinor Asa ▼ $117.46B 5.3x –
PSX Phillips 66 ▶ $116.98B 17.2x 3.7x
IMO Imperial Oil Ltd ▼ $64.76B 21.6x 3.8x
YPF Ypf Sociedad Anonima ▶ $20.49B – –
SUN Sunoco Lp ▲ $10.03B 8.6x –
CVI Cvr Energy Inc ▲ $6.17B 89.0x 11.8x
IEP Icahn Enterprises L.P. ▶ $4.73B – 1.2x
DK Delek Us Holdings, Inc. ▲ $4.69B 21.7x 25.2x
SUNC Sunococorp Llc ▲ $3.73B – –

Where PBF sits on the market map

Energy & Transportation · Petroleum Refining
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News

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock news

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FAQ

Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast FAQ

What is the Pbf Energy Inc. (PBF) stock forecast?

Our AI ranks Pbf Energy Inc. outside the neutral middle of its coverage (a directional signal). Create a free account and follow it to see the exact price target.

How accurate are Pbf Energy Inc. stock predictions?

For PBF, the Spearman rank correlation between our 90-day forecasts and the returns that followed is 35.0%, measured on 357 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-07-17 on this stock's own recent history. A rank correlation runs from -100% to +100%: it measures whether higher forecasts were followed by higher returns, and a value near zero or below means the model has shown little skill on this stock. On the 30-day forecasts the same correlation is 2.0%, measured on 400 forecast dates between 2022-07-29 and 2026-09-16. Across our coverage, the out-of-sample test on 4495 stocks from 2025-01-06 to 2026-07-07 produced a positive net return in 82.5% of rebalance periods (factor-neutral book, net of estimated costs). Full backtest report

How often are Pbf Energy Inc. forecasts updated?

Pbf Energy Inc. forecasts are refreshed on trading days as the daily model run completes. The forecast on this page was produced on Oct. 16, 2026.

Which companies are Pbf Energy Inc.'s industry peers?

15 issuers in our coverage, PBF included, share the SEC industry code Petroleum Refining. The largest are: Chevron Corp (CVX), Conocophillips (COP), Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC), Bp Plc (BP), Valero Energy Corp/Tx (VLO), Equinor Asa (EQNR).

This analysis is generated automatically using our proprietary AI systems and should not be considered personalized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting a financial advisor before making investment decisions.